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China's dominance hypothesis and the emergence of a tri-polar global currency system
Fratzscher, Marcel; Mehl, Arnaud - 2011
euro and the Chinese renminbi (RMB). It focuses on what we call China’s “dominance hypothesis”, i.e. whether the renminbi … global financial crisis. These results are consistent with China’s dominance hypothesis and with the view that the … international monetary system is already tri-polar. However, we also find that China’s currency movements are to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605438
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What explains global exchange rate movements during the financial crisis?
Fratzscher, Marcel - 2009
A striking and unexpected feature of the financial crisis has been the sharp appreciation of the US dollar against virtually all currencies globally. The paper finds that negative US-specific macroeconomic shocks during the crisis have triggered a significant strengthening of the US dollar,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605106
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The Global Capital Flows Cycle : Structural Drivers and Transmission Channels
Habib, Maurizio Michael - 2019
In this paper, we study the effects of structural shocks that influence global risk – the main factor behind a “global capital flows cycle” – and how risk, in turn, is transmitted to capital flows. Our results show that not all the risk shocks driving the global financial cycle have the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870421
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Should Larger Reserve Holdings be More Diversified?
Beck, Roland - 2010
The notable increase in international reserve holdings over the past decade and their use during the global financial crisis of 2008/2009 has sparked renewed interest in the analysis of the optimal level of reserve holdings, in particular in countries which are subject to sudden stops. Less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143881
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Getting Beyond Carry Trade : What Makes a Safe Haven Currency?
Habib, Maurizio Michael - 2011
There is already a substantial literature documenting the fact that low yield currencies typically appreciate during times of global financial stress and behave as safe havens. The main objective of this paper is to find out what the fundamentals of safe haven currencies are. We analyse a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131638
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Methodological advances in the assessment of equilibrium exchange rates
Bussière, Matthieu; Ca' Zorzi, Michele; Chudik, Alexander - 2010
This paper reviews three different concepts of equilibrium exchange rates that are widely used in policy analysis and constitute the backbone of the IMF CGER assessment: the Macroeconomic Balance, the External Sustainability and the reduced form approaches. We raise a number of econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605197
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Reverse causality in global current accounts
Schnabl, Gunther; Freitag, Stephan - 2010
The paper discusses global imbalances under the aspect of an asymmetric world monetary system. It identifies the US and Germany as center countries with rising / high current account deficits (US) and surpluses (Germany). These are matched by current account surpluses of countries stabilizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605254
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Global exchange rate configurations: Do oil shocks matter?
Buetzer, Sascha; Habib, Maurizio Michael; Stracca, Livio - 2012
Do oil shocks matter for exchange rates? This paper addresses this question based on data on real and nominal exchange rates as well as an exchange market pressure index for 44 advanced and emerging countries. We identify three structural shocks (oil supply, global demand, and oil specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605487
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China's Dominance Hypothesis and the Emergence of a Tri-Polar Global Currency System
Fratzscher, Marcel - 2011
euro and the Chinese renminbi (RMB). It focuses on what we call China's “dominance hypothesis”, i.e. whether the renminbi … global financial crisis. These results are consistent with China's dominance hypothesis and with the view that the … international monetary system is already tri-polar. However, we also find that China's currency movements are to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119934
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Financial imbalances and financial fragility
Boissay, Frédéric - 2011
This paper develops a general equilibrium model to analyze the link between financial imbalances and financial crises. The model features an interbank market subject to frictions and where two equilibria may (co-)exist. The normal times equilibrium is characterized by a deep market with highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605363