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aggregate output across industrial sectors which minimize the economy’s long-term volatility for a given level of long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605305
volatility. In contrast, demand shocks had the largest impact on these variables before the 1990s. We also document changes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128262
This paper presents a set of probability density functions for Euribor outturns in three months' time, estimated from the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over ten...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132237
particular, the non-parametric estimator of these densities, which is based on fitting implied volatility curves, is applied to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119936
spot prices, although only in the short run. Moreover, financial activity appears to have exacerbated the volatility in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124900
This paper addresses the mechanisms by which trade openness affects growth volatility. Using a diverse set of export … effect of trade openness on growth volatility. Indeed, the effect of openness on volatility is shown to be negative for a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098217
In this paper we propose a new methodology to estimate the volatility of interest rates in the euro area money market … liquidity risk. The measure is constructed as the implied instantaneous volatility of a consol bond that would be priced on the … historical volatility, in the sense that dividing the consol excess returns by this volatility removes nearly entirely excess of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088954
producer currency invoicing by eurozone countries is primarily caused by a drop in inflation volatility and can only to a small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112497
Policy counterfactuals based on estimated structural VARs routinely suggest that bringing Alan Greenspan back in the 1970s' United States would not have prevented the Great Inflation. We show that a standard policy counterfactual suggests that the Bundesbank – which is near-universally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153230
volatility of returns. Moreover, we are able to predict all the conditional covariances among the observable series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154951