Showing 1 - 10 of 233
How much did fiscal policy contribute to euro area real GDP growth during the Great Recession? We estimate that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108718
Recession, taking a firm-level cross-country perspective. We contribute to the literature by building a new micro … and other relevant firm characteristics (CompNet). We use the database to study how firms reacted to the Great Recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956268
We consider simple methods to improve the growth nowcasts and forecasts obtained by mixed frequency MIDAS and UMIDAS models with a variety of indicators during the Covid-19 crisis and recovery period, such as combining forecasts across various specifications for the same model and/or across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822725
Recession. The paper thus develops a new balance sheet channel of shock transmission that works through the composition of banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048760
various categories of households since the onset of the Great Recession. The shocks differ substantially both across countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051171
demand and credit contraction triggered by the global Great Recession of 2009. The analysis reveals that cost reduction … had adopted by summer 2009. Remarkably, not even during the worst postwar recession did employers cut base wages to reduce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024781
of the U.S. economy before and after the Great Recession. In a DSGE model with endogenous growth, negative demand shocks … deep and persistent enough, like during the Great Recession, they call for a downward revision of potential output measures … Recession, as well as the V-shaped recoveries that followed the oil shock recessions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210843
We show that financial variables contribute to the forecast of GDP growth during the Great Recession, providing … additional insights on both first and higher moments of the GDP growth distribution. If a recession is due to an unforeseen shock … (such as the Covid-19 recession), financial variables serve policymakers in providing timely warnings about the severity of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829414
Drawing on a large sample of countries, this paper explores whether closer economic ties between countries foster business cycle synchronisation and disentangles the role of the various channels, including trade and financial linkages as well as the similarity in sectoral specialisation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128036
implied the highest probability of a recession occurring from a pre-crisis perspective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131847