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on average for about half of the total price adjustment. These results imply that some traders have private information … information leakage and superior forecasting based on proprietary data collection and reprocessing of public information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992424
In an overlapping generations maximization framework with consumers, whose information on uncertain future income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604811
We study credible information transmission by a benevolent Central Bank. We consider two possibilities: direct … revelation through an announcement, versus indirect information transmission through monetary policy. These two ways of … transmitting information have very different consequences. Since the objectives of the Central Bank and those of individual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605137
This paper provides evidence for the impact of technology, labor supply, monetary policy and aggregate spending shocks on hours worked in the Euro area. The evidence is based on a vector autoregression identi?ed using sign restrictions that are consistent with both sticky price and real business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604419
setting? This paper tries to isolate the pure signalling effect that one sector might exert on the other by controlling for … and Spain) and the periods 1980-2007 and 1991-2007. It exploits available quarterly information not yet used in the … (signalling effect). There is strong evidence of public wages’ leadership, either in conjunction with bi-directional links from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605194
The response of US inflation to the high levels of spare capacity during the Great Recession of 2007-09 was rather muted. At the same time, it has been argued that the short-term unemployment gap has a more prominent role in determining inflation, and either the closing of this gap or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963919
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence across the board. In particular we find euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120765
indicators can be a good predictor of household consumption even after controlling for information in economic fundamentals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124648
We develop a high-dimensional and partly nonlinear non-Gaussian dynamic factor model for the decomposition of systematic default risk conditions into a set of latent components that correspond with macroeconomic/financial, default-specific (frailty), and industry-specific effects. Discrete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102101
, which confirms that credit aggregates contain information about the monetary stance. The effect of asset price shocks on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316838