Showing 1 - 10 of 247
The power of standard panel cointegration statistics may be affected by misspecification errors if proper account is … when testing the null hypothesis of no cointegration that retain good properties in terms of empirical size and power … panel cointegration statistics rely on the assumption of cross-section independence, a generalisation of the tests to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317662
It is widely known that significant in-sample evidence of predictability does not garantuee significant out-of-sample predictability. This is often interpreted as an indiciation that in-sample evidence is likely to be spurious and should be discounted. In this paper we question this conventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604241
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence across the board. In particular we find euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604460
This paper uses disaggregated CPI time series to show that a break in the mean of French inflation occurred in the mid-eighties and that the 1983 monetary policy shift mostly accounted for it. CPI average yearly growth declined from nearly 11% before the break date (May 1985) to 2.1% after. No...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604509
We study the convergence properties of inflation rates among the countries of the European Monetary Union over the period 1980-2004. Given the Maastricht agreements and the adoption of the single currency, the sample can be naturally split into two parts, before and after the birth of the euro....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604620
The power of standard panel cointegration statistics may be affected by misspecification errors if proper account is … when testing the null hypothesis of no cointegration that retain good properties in terms of empirical size and power … panel cointegration statistics rely on the assumption of cross-section independence, a generalisation of the tests to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604637
We suggest a new method dealing with the problem of endogeneity of the threshold variable in single regression threshold models and seemingly unrelated systems of them based on copula theory. This theory enables us to relax the assumption that the threshold variable is normally distributed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853324
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence across the board. In particular we find euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120765
We suggest a new method dealing with the problem of endogeneity of the threshold variable in single regression threshold models and seemingly unrelated systems of them based on copula theory. This theory enables us to relax the assumption that the threshold variable is normally distributed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924799
We study the convergence properties of inflation rates among the countries of the European Monetary Union over the period 1980-2004. Given the Maastricht agreements and the adoption of the single currency, the sample can be naturally split into two parts, before and after the birth of the euro....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014060310