This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steadystate inflation and inflation … can achieve lower inflation uncertainty by lowering the inflation rate. …

coastal provinces. A probit analysis suggests that the forwardlooking inflation component and the output gap are important …We model provincial inflation in China during the reform period. In particular, we are interested in the ability of the … hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) to capture the inflation process at the provincial level. The study highlights …

situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …

Equilibrium correction models of the price level are often used to model inflation. Such models assume that the long …

The paper presents an incomplete competition model (ICM), where inflation is determined jointly with unit labour cost … growth. The ICM is estimated on data for the Euro area and evaluated against existing models, i.e. the implicit inflation …. There is, however, some support in favour of the (reduced form) AWM inflation equation. It is the only model that …

This paper uses disaggregated CPI time series to show that a break in the mean of French inflation occurred in the mid … mean break, both aggregate and sectoral inflation persistence are stable and low, with the unit root lying far in the tail … price changes (at the firm level) appears positively related with inflation persistence (at the aggregate level). …

This paper analyses the degree of price rigidity and of inflation persistence across different product categories with … inflation persistence, we find that, for most of the EU15 countries as well as for the EU15 and the euro area aggregates …, excluding services from the full HICP results in a reduction in the measured degree of inflation persistence; for regulated …

from 1 quarter in case of a cost-push shock to several years for a shock to long-run inflation expectations or the output …Time series estimates of inflation persistence incur an upward bias if shifts in the inflation target of the central … bank remain unaccounted for. Using a structural time series approach we measure different sorts of inflation persistence …

looking pricing account for the observed persistence in aggregate inflation. Second, price-setting responds to movements in … marginal costs, which should therefore be the driving force to observed inflation dynamics. This is not always the case in … conditions under which imposing homogeneity results in overestimating a backward-looking component in (aggregate) inflation, and …