Showing 1 - 10 of 1,142
surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316324
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … States and the euro area. To sharpen our estimation, we include in the information set macro data and survey data on … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135685
degree of wage rigidity makes monetary policy more effective, i.e. a monetary policy shock transmits faster onto inflation … fluctuations. Our results point primarily towards disturbances in the bargaining process as a significant contributor to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764518
that monetary policy shocks trigger a smaller response of GDP, but a larger response of inflation during low states of the … cycle. The shift in the inflation-output trade-off may result from higher macro-economic uncertainty in low leverage states …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831247
inflation. Second, conditional on available estimates of the impact of the FED's and the Bank of England's asset purchase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137091
We show that financial variables contribute to the forecast of GDP growth during the Great Recession, providing additional insights on both first and higher moments of the GDP growth distribution. If a recession is due to an unforeseen shock (such as the Covid-19 recession), financial variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829414
after four years. Credit shocks have a positive effect on inflation and explain about 35% of the forecast error variance … inflation is insignificant and their share in explaining the forecast error variance negligible. For the US, regime 1 captures … periods of stable GDP growth, and low and stable inflation, combined with accelerating asset prices. We find procyclical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316838
, this allows the model to generate fluctuations of unemployment, vacancies, and labor productivity whose magnitudes are lose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318926
This paper analyses the determinants of inflation differentials and price levels across the euro area countries …. Dynamic panel estimations for the period 1999-2006 show that inflation differentials are primarily determined by cyclical … positions and inflation persistence. The persistence in inflation differentials appears to be partly explained by administered …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316285
In the current low interest rate environment in the euro area there is potential for a sudden increase in interest rates and heightened interest rate risk (IRR). By using a sample of 81 euro area banks during the period 2014Q4-2018Q1 and a confidential supervisory measure of IRR, this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314909