Showing 1 - 10 of 1,284
We examine the global dimension of inflation in 24 OECD countries between 1980 and 2007 in a traditional Phillips curve … to affect inflation through (the common part of) domestic demand and supply conditions. Our most important result is that … the common component of changes in unit labor costs has a notable impact of inflation. We also find evidence that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765190
assumptions on the functional correspondence between price inflation, inflation expectations and marginal costs. Expectations are … not assumed to be an unbiased predictor of actual inflation and instead derived from the European Commission’s Consumer … Survey data. The results suggest that expectations drive inflation with a lag of about 6 months, which casts further doubt on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605165
A number of studies document the prominent role of global factors in domestic inflation developments (e.g. Borio and … Filardo, 2007; Ciccarelli and Mojon, 2010). In this paper we investigate global dimensions of advanced economy inflation. We … inflation expectations and augment Phillips curves with global factors including global economic slack, global inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605993
This paper asks whether a textbook Phillips curve can explain the behavior of core inflation in the euro area. A … critical feature of the analysis is that we measure core inflation with the weighted median of industry inflation rates, which … is less volatile than the common measure of inflation excluding food and energy prices. We find that fluctuations in core …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844630
We examine the global dimension of inflation in 24 OECD countries between 1980 and 2007 in a traditional Phillips curve … to affect inflation through (the common part of) domestic demand and supply conditions. Our most important result is that … the common component of changes in unit labor costs has a notable impact of inflation. We also find evidence that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605057
important determinants of inflation over the sample. We then forecast core inflation 12 quarters ahead and present its … manner, the convergence towards a sustainable path of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315363
In this paper we analyse the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) in the euro area as a whole and for four euro area members - Germany, France, Italy and Spain. For that purpose we use Bayesian VARs with identi?cation based on a combination of zero and sign restrictions. Our results emphasize that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606048
producer currency invoicing by eurozone countries is primarily caused by a drop in inflation volatility and can only to a small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112497
This paper decomposes the time-varying effect of exogenous exchange rate shocks on euro area countries inflation into … quarters of the past six years, especially in turning point periods. Our main results indicate that headline inflation in euro … inflation this increasing sensitivity is solely reliant on a sustained surge in the degree of comovement, for energy inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838756
How long does it take for exchange rate changes to pass through into inflation? Does it make a difference whether the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844267