Showing 1 - 10 of 701
Can discretionary increases in government spending stimulate the economy? We answer this question by taking into account both the information flow on fiscal measures and the role played by information frictions. Using a novel set of empirical proxies for fiscal news and agents’ misperceptions,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605858
, France, Germany, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden, and UK); improvements of the primary balance after past worsening in debt ratios … for Australia, Belgium, Germany, Ireland, Netherlands and the UK; Granger causality from government debt to the primary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605510
In most euro area countries, the monetary/fiscal policy mix is responsible for the changing history of debt and … simulations reveal that the PM/AF regime in France led to price volatility and debt stabilisation, while the AM/PF regime resulted … in disinflation and rising debt trajectory. Meanwhile, Italy's procyclical fiscal policy in downturns contributed to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543672
In this paper we examine the sustainability of euro area public finances against the backdrop of population ageing. We critically assess the widely used projections of the Working Group on Ageing Populations (AWG) of the EU's Economic Policy Committee and argue that ageing costs may be higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605040
economic cycle and to public debt accumulation. It emerges that the intended cyclical behavior of fiscal policy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604965
external debt, fiscal and current account balances, exchange and inflation rates, their degree of trade openness as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605139
government debt ratio shock and about 48% for the budget balance shock. In Germany, fiscal shocks entail no significant reactions … shocks created no response from the yield curve shape, (ii) surprise increases in the debt ratio caused some increase in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605322
We use a threshold VAR analysis to study whether the effects of fiscal policy on economic activity differ depending on financial market conditions. In particular, we investigate the possibility of a non-linear propagation of fiscal developments according to different financial market stress...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605365
This paper surveys the empirical research on fiscal policy analysis based on real-time data. This literature can be broadly divided in three groups that focus on: (1) the statistical properties of revisions in fiscal data; (2) the political and institutional determinants of projection errors by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605453
change in the interest rate paid by governments on their debt in a panel of 14 European countries over four decades. This is … primary expenditure. The size of the total fiscal adjustment, however, is insufficient to avoid the gross government debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605548