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Revenue versus Spending-Based Consolidation Plans : The Role of Follow-Up
Beetsma, Roel M. W. J.; Furtuna, Oana; Giuliodori, Massimo - 2021
The literature on fiscal multipliers finds that spending-based fiscal consolidations tend to have more benign macro-economic consequences than revenue-based consolidations. By directly comparing expost data with consolidation plans, we present evidence of a systematically weaker follow-up of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315403
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Learning about fiscal multipliers during the European sovereign debt crisis: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment
Górnicka, Lucyna; Kamps, Christophe; Koester, Gerrit; … - 2018
Identifying fiscal multipliers is usually constrained by the absence of a counterfactual scenario. Our new data set allows overcoming this problem by making use of the fact that recommendations under the EU's excessive deficit procedure (EDP) provide both a baseline no-policy-change scenario and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011916858
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Learning About Fiscal Multipliers During the European Sovereign Debt Crisis : Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment
Górnicka, Lucyna - 2018
Identifying fiscal multipliers is usually constrained by the absence of a counterfactual scenario. Our new data set allows overcoming this problem by making use of the fact that recommendations under the EU's excessive deficit procedure (EDP) provide both a baseline no-policy-change scenario and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917733
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Understanding the effects of government spending on consumption
Galí, Jordi; López-Salido, David; Vallés, Javier - 2004
Recent evidence on the effect of government spending shocks on consumption cannot be easily reconciled with existing optimizing business cycle models. We extend the standard New Keynesian model to allow for the presence of rule-of-thumb (non-Ricardian) consumers. We show how the interaction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604385
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A new identification of fiscal shocks based on the information flow
Ricco, Giovanni - 2015
Can discretionary increases in government spending stimulate the economy? We answer this question by taking into account both the information flow on fiscal measures and the role played by information frictions. Using a novel set of empirical proxies for fiscal news and agents’ misperceptions,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605858
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Identification of systematic monetary policy
Hack, Lukas; Istrefi, Klodiana; Meier, Matthias - 2023
We propose a novel identification design to estimate the causal effects of systematic monetary policy on the propagation of macroeconomic shocks. The design combines (i) a time-varying measure of systematic monetary policy based on the historical composition of hawks and doves in the Federal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543651
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Effects of State-Dependent Forward Guidance, Large-Scale Asset Purchases and Fiscal Stimulus in a Low-Interest-Rate Environment
Coenen, Günter - 2020
We study the incidence and severity of lower-bound episodes and the efficacy of three types of state-dependent policies—forward guidance about the future path of interest rates, large-scale asset purchases and spending-based fiscal stimulus—in ameliorating the adverse consequences stemming...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844862
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Understanding the Effects of Government Spending on Consumption
Galí, Jordi; Lopez-Salido, David; Vallés, Javier - 2021
Recent evidence on the effect of government spending shocks on consumption cannot be easily reconciled with existing optimizing business cycle models. We extend the standard New Keynesian model to allow for the presence of rule-of-thumb (non-Ricardian) consumers. We show how the interaction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319353
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Government Spending Volatility and the Size of Nations
Furceri, Davide - 2008
for a sample of 160 countries from 1960 to 2000. We argue that the larger size of a country decreases the volatility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770792
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Government Size, Composition, Volatility and Economic Growth
Afonso, António; Furceri, Davide - 2021
This paper analyses the effects in terms of size and volatility of government revenue and spending on growth in OECD … taxes (size and volatility); ii) social contributions (size and volatility); iii) government consumption (size and … volatility); iv) subsidies (size); and v) government investment (volatility) have a sizeable, negative and statistically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316642