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Monitoring economic conditions in real time, or nowcasting, is among the key tasks routinely performed by economists. Nowcasting entails some key challenges, which also characterise modern Big Data analytics, often referred to as the three "Vs": the large number of time series continuously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422115
Financial decision makers often consider the information in currency option valuations when making assessments about future exchange rates. The purpose of this paper is to systematically assess the quality of option based volatility, interval and density forecasts. We use a unique dataset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604412
Economic policy makers, international organisations and private-sector forecasters commonly use short-term forecasts of real GDP growth based on monthly indicators, such as industrial production, retail sales and confidence surveys. An assessment of the reliability of such tools and of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604668
as a pseudo real time forecasting exercise, i.e. due account is taken of the pattern of available monthly variables over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605021
Indices (PMI) in anticipating US real economic activity. We conduct a fully-fledged real-time out-ofsample forecasting … forecasting GDP growth, while it performs quite poorly in anticipating industrial production growth. Combining the information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605500
The term now-casting is a contraction for now and forecasting and has been used for a long-time in meteorology and …., Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Volume 2, Elsevier-North Holland). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605609
Monitoring economic conditions in real time, or nowcasting, is among the key tasks routinely performed by economists. Nowcasting entails some key challenges, which also characterise modern Big Data analytics, often referred to as the three \Vs": the large number of time series continuously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825850
The term now-casting is a contraction for now and forecasting and has been used for a long-time in meteorology and …., Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Volume 2, Elsevier-North Holland) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080088
provides valid intuition on the merits of each approach. The forecasting performance of the models is also assessed in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604188
It is standard in applied work to select forecasting models by ranking candidate models by their prediction mean square …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604260