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We study the dynamics of a Lucas-tree model with finitely lived agents who "learn from experience." Individuals update expectations by Bayesian learning based on observations from their own lifetimes. In this model, the stock price exhibits stochastic boom-and-bust fluctuations around the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605442
uncertainty. Positive/negative bubbles arise when prior public beliefs about the aggregate productivity of producers (business … uncollateralized credit. We find that this kind of policy is more successful in suppressing equity price swings than moderating output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081636
Introducing bounded rationality into a standard consumption based asset pricing model with a representative agent and time separable preferences strongly improves empirical performance. Learning causes momentum and mean reversion of returns and thereby excess volatility, persistence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604908
We study the dynamics of a Lucas-tree model with finitely lived agents who "learn from experience." Individuals update expectations by Bayesian learning based on observations from their own lifetimes. In this model, the stock price exhibits stochastic boom-and-bust fluctuations around the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119137
Introducing bounded rationality into a standard consumption based asset pricing model with a representative agent and time separable preferences strongly improves empirical performance. Learning causes momentum and mean reversion of returns and thereby excess volatility, persistence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012766646
Using a large set of firm-level survey data from the euro area since 2009, we analyse how firms use their information to form expectations on the availability of bank finance. Our results suggest that firms update what otherwise look like adaptive expectations on the basis of the latest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844622
We provide new evidence on how ECB’s monetary policy decisions affect firms’ bank loan expectations in the euro area. We use firm-level data derived from the ECB Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises for the period 2009 to 2022 and identify the impact of monetary policy by comparing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352750
uncertainty. Positive/negative bubbles arise when prior public beliefs about the aggregate productivity of producers (business … macroprudential policy is represented by a convex dependence of bank capital requirements on the quantity of uncollateralized credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605596
overnight repurchase agreements (repo) and loan-level credit registry data on corporate loans. We find that borrowers on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013300220
How do housing bubbles affect other economic sectors? We show that in the presence of collateral constraints, a bubble … initially raises housing credit demand and crowds out credit to non-housing firms. If the bubble lasts, however, housing credit … repayments raise banks' net worth and expand credit supply, so that crowding-out eventually gives way to crowding-in. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891798