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framework by Diebold and Yilmaz (2011), we quantify spillovers between sovereign credit markets and banks in the euro area …. Spillovers are estimated recursively from a vector autoregressive model of daily CDS spread changes, with exogenous common … transmission from or to sovereigns and banks are aggregated as a Contagion Index (CI). This index is disentangled into four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081460
both cross-country spill-overs and contagion are important factors for driving financial crises. A parsimonious model with … models for financial crises that take into account cross-country spill-overs of vulnerabilities. The empirical results show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916375
This paper provides an empirical assessment of interdependence and contagion across three asset classes (bonds, stocks …. For emerging economies, these within-market effects mostly apply to the equity market. Contagion effects within-market are … most notable in Latin America and Emerging Asia for equities. Cross-market contagion is identified from global bonds to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100396
This paper presents time-varying contagion indices of credit risk spillover and feedback between 64 financials and …-identification of contagion between financials' true credit risk and sovereign credit risk is avoided 1) by controlling for common … contagion and feedback. The institutions identified as most central to the network during those episodes are known to have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992428
framework by Diebold and Yilmaz (2011), we quantify spillovers between sovereign credit markets and banks in the euro area …. Spillovers are estimated recursively from a vector autoregressive model of daily CDS spread changes, with exogenous common … transmission from or to sovereigns and banks are aggregated as a Contagion index (CI). This index is disentangled into four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605603
One important source of systemic risk can arise from asset commonality among financial institutions. This indirect interconnection may occur when financial institutions invest in similar or correlated assets and is also described as overlapping portfolios. In this work, we propose a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239684
In this paper we develop a general framework to analyze state space models with time-varying system matrices where time variation is driven by the score of the conditional likelihood. We derive a new filter that allows for the simultaneous estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842441
We analyze optimal hedging contracts and show that although hedging aims at sharing risk, it can lead to more risk …. This incentive problem limits the capacity to share risks and generates endogenous counterparty risk. Optimal hedging can … therefore lead to contagion from news about insured risks to the balance sheet of insurers. Such endogenous risk is more likely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113017
volatility: first, low rates (mechanically) augment the excess return to be gained by investing in riskier assets and second, they … are found to dampen volatility of riskier assets in the portfolio. The inverse relationship between portfolio instability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351486
Overlapping portfolios constitute a well-recognised source of risk, providing a channel for financial contagion induced … system of banks and investment funds is then assessed by considering contagion between individual institutions’ portfolio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403723