Showing 1 - 10 of 519
weather events on changes in public budgets. We apply alternative measures for large scale extreme weather events and conclude … countries face a much larger effect on changes in budget balances following an extreme weather event than do advanced economies …. Based on these findings, we discuss implications for fiscal policy and publicly-provided disaster insurance. Our policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159926
where (i) the shock of interest is observed, (ii) the impact variable of interest is observed at a lower frequency (as a … frequency of the shock, and (iv) the full set of relevant endogenous variables entering the DGP is unknown or unobserved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315353
economic growth to a fiscal shock are mostly positive in both financial stress regimes; (iii) financial stress has a negative … shock is mainly associated with different behaviour across regimes; (v) the size of the fiscal multipliers is higher than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128285
We study the identification of policy shocks in Bayesian proxy VARs for the case that the instrument consists of sparse qualitative observations indicating the signs of certain shocks. We propose two identification schemes, i.e. linear discriminant analysis and a non-parametric sign concordance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844716
-2012) in the Polish economy. The empirical findings show that: (1) output appears more responsive to an interest rate shock at … the beginning of our sample. Since 2000, absorbing this shock has become less costly in terms of output, notwithstanding … some reversal since the beginning of the global financial crisis. The exchange rate shock also has a time-varying effect on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060040
This paper assesses the impact of weather shocks on inflation components in the four largest euro area economies. We … combine high-frequency weather data with monthly data on inflation and output growth within a set of Bayesian Vector Autore …-gressions which explicitly considers the seasonal dependence of the shock. Results suggest the presence of significant country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355983
Identification of structural VARs using sign restrictions has become increasingly popular in the academic literature. This paper (i) argues that identification of shocks can benefit from introducing a global dimension, and (ii) shows that summarising information by the median of the available...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128288
dollar shock, generalised impulse response function shocks and a global shock to risk aversion. Our results show that the way … depends crucially on the nature of the shock. This result is noteworthy given the apparent divergence in competitiveness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130602
We propose a benchmark prior for the estimation of vector autoregressions: a prior about initial growth rates of the modeled series. We first show that the Bayesian vs frequentist small sample bias controversy is driven by different default initial conditions. These initial conditions are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136582
overwhelmingly large. This finding is also confirmed under different identification strategies for the monetary policy shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139795