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We analyse the effects of money growth within a standard New Keynesian framework and show that the interaction between staggered nominal contracts and money growth leads to a long-run trade-off between output and money growth. We explore the microeconomic mechanisms that lead to this trade-off,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604458
-related variables accounts for changes (rises) in the Okun's parameter in the US in recent decades. Accordingly, the unemployment gap is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389548
We show that financial variables contribute to the forecast of GDP growth during the Great Recession, providing additional insights on both first and higher moments of the GDP growth distribution. If a recession is due to an unforeseen shock (such as the Covid-19 recession), financial variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829414
equilibrium values having explanatory power for subsequent consumer price inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604784
for future inflation for the cross section of New EU Member States. This paper provides stylized facts on monetary versus … non-monetary (economic and fiscal) determinants of inflation in these countries as well as formal econometric evidence on … predicting inflation at longer (3-year) horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605061
monetary and credit aggregates are very often selected among the top predictors of inflation, with their predictive power … and credit variables in forecasting inflation, even if their information content is diluted in a much broader pool of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606060
monetary and credit aggregates are very often selected among the top predictors of inflation, with their predictive power … and credit variables in forecasting inflation, even if their information content is diluted in a much broader pool of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963628
equilibrium values having explanatory power for subsequent consumer price inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777411
(notably residential property) and inflation; and it looks at the role of public debt for consumer price developments. On the … basis of a VAR analysis, the study finds that i) global money demand shocks affect global inflation and also global … commodity prices, which in turn impact on inflation; global asset/property price dynamics appear to respond to financing cost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315888
for future inflation for the cross section of New EU Member States. This paper provides stylized facts on monetary versus … non-monetary (economic and fiscal) determinants of inflation in these countries as well as formal econometric evidence on … predicting inflation at longer (3-year) horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316406