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adjustment process around PPP. By contrast, we combine these two explanations in the context of an innovative panel estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134541
This paper provides evidence on whether the creation of the euro has changed the way global turbulences affect euro area and other economies. Specifically, it considers the impact of global shocks on the competitiveness of individual euro area countries and assesses whether their responses to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130602
In this paper we evaluate the predictive power of the three most popular equilibrium exchange rate concepts: Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) and the Macroeconomic Balance (MB) approach. We show that there is a clear trade-off between storytelling and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844460
We build currency portfolios based on the paradigm that exchange rates slowly converge to their equilibrium to highlight three results. First, this property can be exploited to build profitable portfolios. Second, the slow pace of convergence at short-horizons is consistent with the evidence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239531
In this paper, we present international comparisons of potential output growth among several economies - Canada, the Euro area, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and the United States - for the period 1991-2004. The main estimates rely on a structural approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316775
financial (or output) gaps within EU countries. We apply panel techniques, including a Bayesian panel VAR, to 27 EU members over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961964
cointegration analysis, both country and panel based, controlling for endogenous breaks. Results notably show: lack of cointegration … several countries, and panel data results corroborate the time-series findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102099
several possible extensions on panel data from 22 OECD countries over 40 years of data. I also evaluate whether the key …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316177
driver of trade flows outside the euro area as compared to those within the monetary union, especially for exports, that tend … to be more sensitive to relative prices than imports. We consider various measures of competitiveness and conclude that … costs appear to contain relatively more information for trade flows, particularly for exports outside the euro area.The key …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984573
of exports and the volume of imports. Then, we re-estimate the model by dividing the terms of trade index into import and … changes in these factors have on net trade, real GDP and the Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP). To this end, we estimate … strongly affects real GDP, the nominal effective exchange rate affects it only slightly. Among the external factors, foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316910