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Brexit, What Brexit? Euro Area Portfolio Exposures to the United Kingdom Since the Brexit Referendum

Carvalho, Daniel; Schmitz, Martin - 2022

We study euro area investors' portfolio adjustment since the Brexit referendum in terms of securities issued in the UK … since the Brexit referendum. The analysis also reveals an increase in the euro area's exposure to listed shares issued by UK … referendum, which appear to have largely outweighed the uncertainties associated with Brexit …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239454

The Euro Plus Pact : Cost Competitiveness and External Capital Flows in the EU Countries

Gabrisch, Hubert - 2014

The Euro Plus Pact was approved by 23 EU countries in March 2011 and came into force shortly afterwards. The Pact stipulates a range of quantitative targets meant to strengthen cost competitiveness with the aim of preventing the accumulation of external financial imbalances. This paper uses...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058551

What Lies Beneath the Euro's Effect on Financial Integration? Currency Risk, Legal Harmonization, or Trade?

Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem - 2010

Although recent research shows that the euro has spurred cross-border financial integration, the exact mechanisms remain unknown. We investigate the underlying channels of the euro's effect on financial integration using data on bilateral banking linkages among twenty industrial countries in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142360

Trade with central and eastern Europe: Is it really a threat to wages in the west?

Polgár, Éva Katalin; Wörz, Julia - 2010

This paper analyses the relationship between openness to trade and wages at the industry level (15 manufacturing industries) in 25 EU countries over the period from 1995 to 2005. By applying a cross-country and industry-specific approach, it is possible to control for unobserved heterogeneity at...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605290

Inflation Risk Premia in the US and the Euro Area

Hördahl, Peter - 2010

We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United States and the euro area. To sharpen our estimation, we include in the information set macro data and survey data on inflation and interest rate expectations at various future...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135685

Forecasting Inflation with Gradual Regime Shifts and Exogenous Information

Hubrich, Kirstin - 2011

We propose a new method for medium-term forecasting using exogenous information. We first show how a shifting-mean autoregressive model can be used to describe characteristic features in inflation series. This implies that we decompose the inflation process into a slowly moving nonstationary...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122536

House Price Responsiveness of Housing Investments Across Major European Economies

Gattini, Luca - 2012

In comparison with the large literature on house prices, housing investments have been studied far less. This paper investigates the behavior of private residential investments for the six largest European economies, namely: Germany, France, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102106

Modelling Ireland's Exchange Rates : From EMS to EMU

Bond, Derek - 2007

This paper attempts to model the nominal and real exchange rate for Ireland, relative to Germany and the UK from 1975 to 2003. It offers an overview of the theory of purchasing power parity (Ppp), focusing particularly on likely sources of nonlinearity. Potential difficulties in placing the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775859

Inflation Forecasts, Monetary Policy and Unemployment Dynamics : Evidence from the Us and the Euro Area

Ciccarelli, Matteo - 2007

This paper explores the role that inflation forecasts play in the uncertainty surrounding the estimated effects of alternative monetary rules on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We use the inflation forecasts of 8 competing models in a standard Bayesian VAR to analyse the size...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777870

What Has Driven Inflation Dynamics in the Euro Area, the United Kingdom and the United States

Melolinna, Marko - 2015

This paper studies factors behind inflation dynamics in the euro area, the UK and the US. It introduces a factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) framework with sign restrictions to study the effects of fundamental macroeconomic shocks on inflation in the three economies. The FAVAR model...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020653

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