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inflation. We find that based on a cointegrated VAR model there is a positive long-run relationship between inflation and the … found does not sufficiently take into account changes in policy settings following the high inflation experiences in the 1970 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963913
prices with respect to the euro area: productivity growth and increased trade openness. Productivity growth can have a … productivity growth a positive one on price level convergence with respect to the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316776
Projected demographic changes in industrialized countries will reduce the share of the working-age population. Analyses based on standard OLG models predict that these changes will increase the capital-labor ratio. Hence, rates of return to capital decrease and wages increase with adverse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100571
In this paper we examine the sustainability of euro area public finances against the backdrop of population ageing. We critically assess the widely used projections of the Working Group on Ageing Populations (AWG) of the EU's Economic Policy Committee and argue that ageing costs may be higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765709
This paper aims to address the issue of public pension reforms under demographic ageing that is likely to occur in Europe over the next 50 years. Three possible scenarios are analysed in a Blanchard OLG framework. These include: i) a decrease both in public pensions and the lump sum labour...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316600
prices with respect to the euro area: productivity growth and increased trade openness. Productivity growth can have a … productivity growth a positive one on price level convergence with respect to the euro area. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604873
Over the last two centuries, the cross-spectral coherence between either narrow or broad money growth and inflation at … other countries, thus implying that the fraction of inflation’s long-run variation explained by long-run money growth has … correspondence with the inflationary outbursts associated with World War I and the Great Inflation–but not World War II …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605073
Deficits" discussion of the 1980s. In contrast, during the 1990s productivity growth has been identified as the primary cause … importance of budget deficits and productivity shocks for the determination of the current account. Using a sample of 21 OECD … current account, while country-specific productivity shocks appear to play a key role. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604555
We develop a framework for analyzing “medium-run” departures from balanced growth, and apply it to the economies of continental Europe. A time-varying factor-augmenting production function (mimicking “directed” technical change) with a below-unitary substitution elasticity coupled with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604961
and productivity change; when expenditure on consumer durables is recorded as capital investment. The capitalization of … consumer durables impacts both the levels and growth rates of the capital stock, productivity and GDP. Our growth accounting … productivity growth in 1995-2004. ICT's impacts were larger, i.e., one-fifth of GVA growth and one-sixth of labour productivity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604986