Showing 1 - 10 of 1,306
We build a new empirical model to estimate the global impact of an increase in the volatility of US monetary policy …. By allowing for rich dynamic interaction between the endogenous variables and time-varying volatility in the global … declines in output, inflation, and the interest rate. Moreover, we document strong global impacts, making the world move in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243822
The paper shows that US monetary policy has been an important determinant of global equity markets. Analysing 50 equity … the degree of global integration of countries - and not a country's bilateral integration with the United States - is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317648
What are the economic implications of financial and uncertainty shocks? We show that financial shocks cause a decline in output and goods prices, while uncertainty shocks cause a decline in output and an increase in goods prices. In response to un-certainty shocks, firms increase their markups,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076665
We study the identification of policy shocks in Bayesian proxy VARs for the case that the instrument consists of sparse qualitative observations indicating the signs of certain shocks. We propose two identification schemes, i.e. linear discriminant analysis and a non-parametric sign concordance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844716
some reversal since the beginning of the global financial crisis. The exchange rate shock also has a time-varying effect on …-2012) in the Polish economy. The empirical findings show that: (1) output appears more responsive to an interest rate shock at … the beginning of our sample. Since 2000, absorbing this shock has become less costly in terms of output, notwithstanding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060040
dollar shock, generalised impulse response function shocks and a global shock to risk aversion. Our results show that the way …This paper provides evidence on whether the creation of the euro has changed the way global turbulences affect euro … area and other economies. Specifically, it considers the impact of global shocks on the competitiveness of individual euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130602
We propose a benchmark prior for the estimation of vector autoregressions: a prior about initial growth rates of the modeled series. We first show that the Bayesian vs frequentist small sample bias controversy is driven by different default initial conditions. These initial conditions are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136582
Global monetary conditions have often been cited as a driving factor of commodity prices. This paper investigates the … overwhelmingly large. This finding is also confirmed under different identification strategies for the monetary policy shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139795
The paper provides a systematic empirical analysis of the role of the housing market in the macroeconomy in the US and in the euro area. First, it establishes some stylised facts concerning key variables in the housing market, such as the real house price, residential investment and mortgage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116395
both equities and bonds. Yet such a monetary policy easing shock also induces a shift in portfolio composition out of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153609