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expansionary demand shock and to an inflationary supply shock under the Taylor rule, asymmetric unemployment targeting, and average … inflation targeting. For each rule we distinguish between cases with zero weight on the unemployment gap and a negative response … to rising unemployment. Across all rules, responding to unemployment leads to lower losses of employment and higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374420
We incorporate financial linkages in EAGLE, a New Keynesian multi-country dynamic general equilibrium model of the euro area (EA) by including financial frictions and country-specific banking sectors. In this new version of the model, termed EAGLE-FLI (Euro Area and GLobal Economy with Financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605968
We evaluate the effects of permanently reducing labour tax rates in the euro area (EA) by simulating a large-scale open economy dynamic general equilibrium model. The model features the EA as a monetary union, split in two regions (Home and the rest of the EA - REA), the US, and the rest of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928551
Building on the New Area Wide Model, we develop a 4-region macroeconomic model of the euro area and the world economy. The model (EAGLE, Euro Area and Global Economy model) is microfounded and designed for conducting quantitative policy analysis of macroeconomic interdependence across regions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605241
supranational unemployment insurance scheme. The model is calibrated to the euro area's core and periphery and features a rich …-regional correlation of unemployment and in ation increases by up to 52% and 27%, respectively, compared to the decentralised setting. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422090
supranational unemployment insurance scheme. The model is calibrated to the euro area's core and periphery and features a rich …-regional correlation of unemployment and inflation increases by up to 52% and 27%, respectively, compared to the decentralised setting. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830081
This paper analyses the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic shock on small open economies in a monetary union with an application to the euro area. Accounting for a high degree of openness and a strong dependence on intra and extra union trade, we focus on the size and the direction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661631
In this paper we review the methodology of forecasting with log-linearised DSGE models using Bayesian methods. We focus on the estimation of their predictive distributions, with special attention being paid to the mean and the covariance matrix of h-step ahead forecasts. In the empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605231
expansionary demand shock and to an inflationary supply shock under the Taylor rule, asymmetric unemployment targeting, and average … inflation targeting. For each rule we distinguish between cases with zero weight on the unemployment gap and a negative response … to rising unemployment. Across all rules, responding to unemployment leads to lower losses of employment and higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014258210
This paper investigates the importance of labor market institutions for inflation and unemployment dynamics. Using the … Unemployment Rigidities (UR) and those that cause Real Wage Rigidities (RWR). The two types of institutions have opposite effects … and their interaction is crucial for the dynamics of inflation and unemployment. We estimate a panel VAR with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605229