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Exchange rates and fundamentals: new evidence from real-time data
Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - 2004
This paper analyses the link between economic fundamentals and exchange rates by investigating the importance of real-time data. We find that such economic news in the United States, Germany and the euro area have indeed been a driving force behind daily US dollar – euro/DEM exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604411
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The political economy under monetary union: has the euro made a difference?
Fratzscher, Marcel; Stracca, Livio - 2008
Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) has transformed Europe and has created an integrated pan-European economy. Much … political economy channel of EMU as the monetary union implies that member states had to transfer or at least curtail their … policy autonomy in several areas, such as monetary policy and fiscal policy. The paper shows that EMU has helped reduce the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605002
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Does it pay to have the euro? Italy’s politics and financial markets under the lira and the euro
Fratzscher, Marcel; Stracca, Livio - 2009
economic dimension and channel through which Italy may have been affected by EMU. Our analysis could also be potentially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605110
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China's dominance hypothesis and the emergence of a tri-polar global currency system
Fratzscher, Marcel; Mehl, Arnaud - 2011
This paper assesses whether the international monetary system is already tripolar and centred around the US dollar, the euro and the Chinese renminbi (RMB). It focuses on what we call China’s “dominance hypothesis”, i.e. whether the renminbi is already the dominant currency in Asia,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605438
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Implications of monetary union for catching-up member states
Sánchez, Marcelo - 2006
We examine the implications of monetary union for macroeconomic stabilisation in catching up participating countries. We allow member states’supply conditions to differ inside the union, especially with regard to sectoral characteristics. Sectoral productivity shocks on balance hamper the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604676
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Exchange rates and fundamentals
Engel, Charles; West, Kenneth D. - 2003
Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates -- that is,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604294
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Do financial market variables show (symmetric) indicator properties relative to exchange rate returns?
Castrén, Olli - 2004
This paper assesses the contemporaneous, leading and lagging indicator properties of financial market variables relative to movements in six major developed country currency pairs. As indicator variables changes in various relative asset prices, short-term portfolio flows and currency options...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604425
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Assessing the benefits of international portfolio diversification in bonds and stocks.
De Santis, Roberto A.; Sarno, Lucio - 2008
This paper considers a stylized asset pricing model where the returns from exchange rates, stocks and bonds are linked by basic risk-arbitrage relationships. Employing GMM estimation and monthly data for 18 economies and the US (treated as the domestic country), we identify through a simple test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604929
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What explains global exchange rate movements during the financial crisis?
Fratzscher, Marcel - 2009
A striking and unexpected feature of the financial crisis has been the sharp appreciation of the US dollar against virtually all currencies globally. The paper finds that negative US-specific macroeconomic shocks during the crisis have triggered a significant strengthening of the US dollar,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605106
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Chronicle of currency collapses: re-examining the effects on output
Bussière, Matthieu; Saxena, Sweta C.; Tovar, Camilo E. - 2010
The impact of currency collapses (i.e. large nominal depreciations or devaluations) on real output remains unsettled in the empirical macroeconomic literature. This paper provides new empirical evidence on this relationship using a dataset for 108 emerging and developing economies for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605272