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Productivity shocks, budget deficits and the current account
Bussière, Matthieu; Fratzscher, Marcel; Müller, Gernot J. - 2005
Deficits" discussion of the 1980s. In contrast, during the 1990s productivity growth has been identified as the primary cause … importance of budget deficits and productivity shocks for the determination of the current account. Using a sample of 21 OECD … current account, while country-specific productivity shocks appear to play a key role. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604555
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Fiscal policies, the current account and Ricardian equivalence
Nickel, Christiane; Vansteenkiste, Isabel - 2008
This paper analyses the empirical relationship between fiscal policy and the current account of the balance of payments and considers how Ricardian equivalence changes this relationship. To do so, we estimate a dynamic panel threshold model for 22 industrialised countries in which the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604981
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Fiscal Policies, the Current Account and Ricardian Equivalence
Nickel, Christiane - 2008
This paper analyses the empirical relationship between fiscal policy and the current account of the balance of payments and considers how Ricardian equivalence changes this relationship. To do so, we estimate a dynamic panel threshold model for 22 industrialised countries in which the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770620
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Does Fiscal Policy Matter for the Trade Account? A Panel Cointegration Study
Funke, Katja; Nickel, Christiane - 2021
This paper analyses the empirical relationship between fiscal policy and the trade account. Research prior to this paper did not consider that the components of private and public demand in the import demand equation exhibit different elasticities. Using pooled mean group estimation for annual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317626
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Current accounts dynamics in OECD and EU acceding countries - an intertemporal approach
Bussière, Matthieu; Fratzscher, Marcel; Müller, Gernot J. - 2004
The paper extends the standard intertemporal model of the current account to include two important stylised facts: (1) the persistence of current account positions and (2) the relevance of the fiscal balance. Specifically, the paper derives a closed form solution for consumption in the presence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604357
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Global liquidity glut or global savings glut? A structural VAR approach
Bracke, Thierry; Fidora, Michael - 2008
Since the late-1990s, the global economy is characterised by historically low risk premia and an unprecedented widening of external imbalances. This paper explores to what extent these two global trends can be understood as a reaction to three structural shocks in different regions of the global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604957
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Current account benchmarks for central and eastern Europe: a desperate search?
Ca' Zorzi, Michele; Chudik, Alexander; Dieppe, Alistair - 2009
This paper examines two competing approaches for calculating current account benchmarks, i.e. the external sustainability approach á la Lane and Milesi-Ferretti (LM) versus the structural current accounts literature (SCA) based on panel econometric techniques. The aim is to gauge the medium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605041
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Methodological advances in the assessment of equilibrium exchange rates
Bussière, Matthieu; Ca' Zorzi, Michele; Chudik, Alexander - 2010
This paper reviews three different concepts of equilibrium exchange rates that are widely used in policy analysis and constitute the backbone of the IMF CGER assessment: the Macroeconomic Balance, the External Sustainability and the reduced form approaches. We raise a number of econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605197
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Thousands of models, one story: current account imbalances in the global economy
Chudik, Alexander; Dieppe, Alistair; Ca' Zorzi, Michele - 2012
The global financial crisis has led to a revival of the empirical literature on current account imbalances. This paper contributes to that literature by investigating the importance of evaluating model and parameter uncertainty prior to reaching any firm conclusion. We explore three alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605486
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Current account reversals in industrial countries: does the exchange rate regime matter?
Pancaro, Cosimo - 2013
This paper studies current account reversals in industrial countries across different exchange rate regimes. There are two major findings which have important implications for industrial economies with external imbalances: first, triggers of current account reversals differ between exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605592