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The Global Effects of the Euro Debt Crisis
Stracca, Livio - 2013
This paper is an event study focusing on the global effects of the euro debt crisis in 2010-2013. After identifying 18 key exogenous crisis events, I analyze the impact on equity returns, exchange rates and government bond yields in 12 advanced and 13 emerging countries. The main effect of euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078527
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Fiscal policy and the Great Recession in the Euro Area
Coenen, Günter - 2012
How much did fiscal policy contribute to euro area real GDP growth during the Great Recession? We estimate that discretionary fiscal measures have increased annualized quarterly real GDP growth during the crisis by up to 1.6 percentage points. We obtain our result by using an extended version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108718
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Fiscal Rules, Fiscal Space and Procyclical Fiscal Policy
Nerlich, Carolin - 2019
In this paper we analyse the interaction of fiscal rules and fiscal space. We find strong evidence for fiscal rules being associated with higher fiscal space. Furthermore, the analysis shows that countries with more fiscal space tend to have higher discretionary expenditures, but that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867815
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Potential Output Growth in Several Industrialised Countries : A Comparison
Cahn, Christophe; Saint Guilhem, Arthur - 2021
In this paper, we present international comparisons of potential output growth among several economies - Canada, the Euro area, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and the United States - for the period 1991-2004. The main estimates rely on a structural approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316775
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Fiscal Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the US : An Empirical Assessment
Burriel, Pablo - 2009
We analyse the impact of fiscal policy shocks in the euro area as a whole, using a newly available quarterly dataset of fiscal variables for the period 1981-2007. To allow for comparability with previous results on euro area countries and the US, we use a standard structural VAR framework, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153261
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Liquidity, Risk and the Global Transmission of the 2007-08 Financial Crisis and the 2010-2011 Sovereign Debt Crisis
Chudik, Alexander - 2015
The paper analyses the transmission of liquidity shocks and risk shocks to global financial markets. Using a Global VAR methodology, the findings reveal fundamental differences in the transmission strength and pattern between the 2007-08 financial crisis and the 2010-11 sovereign debt crisis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037297
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Business Cycle Synchronisation : Disentangling Trade and Financial Linkages
Dees, Stephane - 2011
Drawing on a large sample of countries, this paper explores whether closer economic ties between countries foster business cycle synchronisation and disentangles the role of the various channels, including trade and financial linkages as well as the similarity in sectoral specialisation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128036
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International Medium-Term Business Cycles
Hirschbühl, Dominik; Spitzer, Martin - 2021
Foreign driven medium-term oscillations that originate from fluctuations in technological frontier countries gained widespread attention among policymakers. To study this phenomenon in the context of domestic and other foreign drivers of the euro area business cycle, we develop a medium-scale,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233525
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Mind the Output Gap : The Disconnect of Growth and Inflation During Recessions and Convex Phillips Curves in the Euro Area
Gross, Marco - 2017
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between output, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the co-efficient in the Phillips curve on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963916
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The Importance of Being Mature : the Effect of Demographic Maturation on Global Per-Capita Gdp
Gomez, Rafael - 2007
Given that savings behaviour and worker productivity have strong life-cycle components and given that demographic profiles vary across countries, population age structure should be linked to differences in levels of economic development. In this paper we measure the economic importance of age...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778366