Showing 1 - 10 of 451
overwhelmingly large. This finding is also confirmed under different identification strategies for the monetary policy shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139795
In this paper we examine linkages across non-energy commodity price developments by means of a factor-augmented VAR model (FAVAR). From a set of non-energy commodity price series, we extract two factors, which we identify as common trends in metals and a food prices. These factors are included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146204
underline the importance of the source of an oil shock for its macroeconomic consequences. Oil supply shocks have been less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315918
This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065408
We study the identification of policy shocks in Bayesian proxy VARs for the case that the instrument consists of sparse qualitative observations indicating the signs of certain shocks. We propose two identification schemes, i.e. linear discriminant analysis and a non-parametric sign concordance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844716
economic growth to a fiscal shock are mostly positive in both financial stress regimes; (iii) financial stress has a negative … shock is mainly associated with different behaviour across regimes; (v) the size of the fiscal multipliers is higher than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128285
-2012) in the Polish economy. The empirical findings show that: (1) output appears more responsive to an interest rate shock at … the beginning of our sample. Since 2000, absorbing this shock has become less costly in terms of output, notwithstanding … some reversal since the beginning of the global financial crisis. The exchange rate shock also has a time-varying effect on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060040
In this paper we examine linkages across non-energy commodity price developments by means of a factor-augmented VAR model (FAVAR). From a set of non-energy commodity price series, we extract two factors, which we identify as common trends in metals and a food prices. These factors are included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605216
overwhelmingly large. This finding is also confirmed under different identification strategies for the monetary policy shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605278
We use a Bayesian Threshold Vector Autoregression model identified through sign and narrative restrictions to uncover non-linearities in the propagation of energy supply shocks. We find that the transmission of energy supply shocks on consumer prices is stronger in high-inflation regimes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352840