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Identifying SVARS from Sparse Narrative Instruments : Dynamic Effects of U.S. Macroprudential Policies
Budnik, Katarzyna Barbara - 2020
We study the identification of policy shocks in Bayesian proxy VARs for the case that the instrument consists of sparse qualitative observations indicating the signs of certain shocks. We propose two identification schemes, i.e. linear discriminant analysis and a non-parametric sign concordance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844716
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The Impact of Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Shocks in Poland : Evidence from a Time-Varying VAR
Arratibel, Olga - 2014
-2012) in the Polish economy. The empirical findings show that: (1) output appears more responsive to an interest rate shock at … the beginning of our sample. Since 2000, absorbing this shock has become less costly in terms of output, notwithstanding … some reversal since the beginning of the global financial crisis. The exchange rate shock also has a time-varying effect on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060040
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Fiscal Developments and Financial Stress : A Threshold VAR Analysis
Afonso, António - 2011
economic growth to a fiscal shock are mostly positive in both financial stress regimes; (iii) financial stress has a negative … shock is mainly associated with different behaviour across regimes; (v) the size of the fiscal multipliers is higher than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128285
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Does the Euro Make a Difference? Spatio-Temporal Transmission of Global Shocks to Real Effective Exchange Rates in an Infinite VAR
Bussière, Matthieu - 2011
dollar shock, generalised impulse response function shocks and a global shock to risk aversion. Our results show that the way … depends crucially on the nature of the shock. This result is noteworthy given the apparent divergence in competitiveness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130602
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Autoregressions in Small Samples, Priors about Observables and Initial Conditions
Jarocinski, Marek - 2010
We propose a benchmark prior for the estimation of vector autoregressions: a prior about initial growth rates of the modeled series. We first show that the Bayesian vs frequentist small sample bias controversy is driven by different default initial conditions. These initial conditions are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136582
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The Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on Commodity Prices
Anzuini, Alessio - 2010
overwhelmingly large. This finding is also confirmed under different identification strategies for the monetary policy shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139795
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Housing, Consumption and Monetary Policy : How Different are the US and the Euro Area?
Musso, Alberto - 2012
The paper provides a systematic empirical analysis of the role of the housing market in the macroeconomy in the US and in the euro area. First, it establishes some stylised facts concerning key variables in the housing market, such as the real house price, residential investment and mortgage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116395
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Monetary Policy Shocks and Portfolio Choice
Fratzscher, Marcel - 2009
both equities and bonds. Yet such a monetary policy easing shock also induces a shift in portfolio composition out of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153609
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The Identification of Dominant Macroeconomic Drivers : Coping with Confounding Shocks
Dieppe, Alistair; Francis, Neville; Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene - 2021
We address the identification of low-frequency macroeconomic shocks, such as technology, in Structural Vector Autoregressions. Whilst identification issues with long-run restrictions are well documented, we demonstrate that the recent attempt to overcome said issues using the Max-Share approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233715
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Deflationary Financial Shocks and Inflationary Uncertainty Shocks : An SVAR Investigation
De Santis, Roberto A.; Van der Veken, Wouter - 2022
What are the economic implications of financial and uncertainty shocks? We show that financial shocks cause a decline in output and goods prices, while uncertainty shocks cause a decline in output and an increase in goods prices. In response to un-certainty shocks, firms increase their markups,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076665