Showing 1 - 10 of 1,096
. Our analysis improves upon existing work by endogenising the volatility of both output and inflation. Improved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316318
Is there a systematic mapping between the Federal Reserve’s expectations of macro variables and the words it uses to talk about the economy? We propose a simple framework that allows us to estimate communication rules in the United States based on text analysis with regularized regressions. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264958
We show that the composition of imports has important implications for the optimal volatility of the exchange rate. Using input-output data for 25 countries we document substantial differences in the import and non-tradable content of final demand components, and in the role played by imported...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135279
We explore the dynamic effects of news about a future technology improvement which turns out ex post to be overoptimistic. We find that it is difficult to generate a boom-bust cycle (a period in which stock prices, consumption, investment and employment all rise and then crash) in response to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316465
the Generalized Dynamic Factor model to develop a set of core inflation indicators that, combining national data with area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604946
the Generalized Dynamic Factor model to develop a set of core inflation indicators that, combining national data with area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316530
-term inflation volatility in response to exogenous shocks can be optimal; that the optimal response to adverse financial shocks is to … lower interest rates, if not at the zero bound, and to engineer a short period of inflation; that the Taylor rule may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116576
Can the aging process affect inflation? The prolonged decline of fertility and mortality rates induces a persistent … downward pressure on the natural interest rate. If this development is not internalized by the monetary policy rule, inflation … inflation found in the data for the euro area. In this model, continuing to follow the same rule makes inflation to be on a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838759
other sources of sluggishness to explain the observed high inflation persistence. Second, we confront empirically our fair … inflation outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777408
employment and hours affecting inflation dynamics via marginal costs. We find that the response of unemployment and inflation to … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783591