Showing 1 - 10 of 458
How long does it take for exchange rate changes to pass through into inflation? Does it make a difference whether the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844267
This paper provides estimates of the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to consumer prices for nine central and eastern European EU Member States. Using a five-variate cointegrated VAR (vector autoregression) for each country and impulse responses derived from the VECM (vector error correction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605166
In this paper we analyse the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) in the euro area as a whole and for four euro area members - Germany, France, Italy and Spain. For that purpose we use Bayesian VARs with identi?cation based on a combination of zero and sign restrictions. Our results emphasize that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606048
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … States and the euro area. To sharpen our estimation, we include in the information set macro data and survey data on … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135685
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120765
The response of US inflation to the high levels of spare capacity during the Great Recession of 2007-09 was rather muted … inflation, and either the closing of this gap or non-linearities in the Phillips curve could lead to a sudden pick-up in … inflation. We revisit these issues by estimating Phillips curves over 1992Q1 to 2015Q1. Our main findings suggest that a Phillips …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963919
and food price shocks on a given set of countries. Secondly, we assess the importance of inflation linkages among … exist among regions. In addition, a considerable part of the observed headline inflation rises is attributable to foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159237
This paper asks whether a textbook Phillips curve can explain the behavior of core inflation in the euro area. A … critical feature of the analysis is that we measure core inflation with the weighted median of industry inflation rates, which … is less volatile than the common measure of inflation excluding food and energy prices. We find that fluctuations in core …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844630
inflation and the extent of real wage rigidity but that these effects depend on the definition of reference norms (e.g. how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763968
Inflation volatility is clearly important for structural analysis, forecasting and policy purposes, yet it is often … overlooked in the literature. This paper compares inflation volatility among advanced open economies with inflation targeting …, the volatility of inflation was similar among countries, even when controlling for monetary policy activity and other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827759