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How long does it take for exchange rate changes to pass through into inflation? Does it make a difference whether the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844267
This paper provides estimates of the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to consumer prices for nine central and eastern European EU Member States. Using a five-variate cointegrated VAR (vector autoregression) for each country and impulse responses derived from the VECM (vector error correction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153690
In this paper we analyse the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) in the euro area as a whole and for four euro area members - Germany, France, Italy and Spain. For that purpose we use Bayesian VARs with identi?cation based on a combination of zero and sign restrictions. Our results emphasize that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606048
This paper provides estimates of the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to consumer prices for nine central and eastern European EU Member States. Using a five-variate cointegrated VAR (vector autoregression) for each country and impulse responses derived from the VECM (vector error correction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605166
countries. Difference-in-differences and propensity score matching estimates suggest that inflation in countries receiving large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999424
future inflation remain less well understood. Here we exploit a global dataset of monthly consumer price indices to identify … the causal impacts of changes in climate on inflation, and to assess their implications under future warming. Flexibly …, future warming will cause global increases in annual food and headline inflation of 0.92-3.23 and 0.32-1.18 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354529
This paper develops a Bayesian quantile regression model with time-varying parameters (TVPs) for forecasting inflation … inflation with the ability of quantile regression to model flexibly the whole distribution of inflation. In order to make our …-based indicators for the prediction of the conditional distribution of inflation in the euro area, both in the short and longer run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324581
inflation and the extent of real wage rigidity but that these effects depend on the definition of reference norms (e.g. how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763968
wage and price dynamics. Recent empirical implementations stress the idea that these models link inflation to the behavior … declining inflation and labor shares in Euro area. In this paper, we show that with realistic parameters, the canonical Calvo …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316949
This paper adopts the Impulse-Response methodology to understand inflation persistence. It has often been argued that …, we find that allowing for a distribution of contract lengths can yield a more plausible explanation of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317482