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In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120765
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between output, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the co-efficient in the Phillips curve on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963916
Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no …, inflation appears to be (nearly) purely forward-looking, so that no mechanism introducing backward-looking components is … necessary to fit the data. These results question the notion that the intrinsic inflation persistence found in post-WWII U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316644
During the turbulent 1970s and 1980s the Bundesbank established an outstanding reputation in the world of central … interpreted, first and foremost, as a commitment device. In our setting, a monetary target helps anchoring inflation and inflation … well as a strong response to deviations of inflation from target and to the activity growth gap. In contrast, the response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605066
We show that the announcement of the ECB’s Strategy Review and the revision of its inflation target in summer 2021 went … persistent credibility gains, even after inflation increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254531
inflation and the role of inflation expectations. In relation to the recent weakness of inflation, we discuss the role of firm … supports the view that the absorption of slack and a firm anchoring of inflation expectations remain central to successful … inflation stabilisation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834963
This paper proposes a tractable New Keynesian (NK) economy with endogenous adjustment in product quality that nests the canonical framework. Endogenous quality choice reduces the slope of the traditional NK Phillips curve and amplifies the economy’s response to productivity shocks. This leads...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080687
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the coefficient in the Phillips curve on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606049
situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604272
Assigning a discretionary central bank a mandate to stabilize an average inflation rate—rather than a period …-by-period inflation rate—increases welfare in a New Keynesian model with an occasionally binding lower bound on nominal interest rates … inflation targeting (AIT) is equivalent to price level targeting (PLT). However, AIT with a finite, but sufficiently long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836660