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euro area as a whole and in its five largest countries. In a Bayesian VAR framework, the two credit supply shocks are … for business cycles. For the euro area, the explanatory power of the two credit supply shocks for GDP growth variations is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405076
We contribute to the empirical literature on the impact of non-performing loan (NPL) ratios on aggregate banking sector variables and the macroeconomy by estimating a panel Bayesian VAR model for twelve euro area countries. The model is estimated assuming a hierarchical prior that allows for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833967
This paper studies the relationship between the business cycle and financial intermediation in the euro area. We establish stylized facts and study their stability during the global financial crisis and the European sovereign debt crisis. Long-term interest rates have been exceptionally high and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893985
to have a significant effect on economic activity and credit market variables, but to some extent also inflation, in all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101121
This paper aims to shed light on the characteristics and particularly the determinants of credit-less recoveries. After … building a dataset and documenting some stylised facts of credit-less recoveries in emerging market economies, this paper uses … panel probit models to analyse key determinants of credit-less recoveries. Our main findings are the following. First, our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123785
of sticky bank-firm relationships, estimate its structural parameters in euro area credit register data, and infer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013300219
to activate macroprudential tools targeting excessive credit growth and leverage. To robustly select the key indicators … using credit to GDP gaps, credit to GDP ratios and credit growth rates, as well as real estate variables in addition to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049466
This study examines empirically the information content of the euro area Bank Lending Survey for aggregate credit and … leading indicator for euro area bank credit and real GDP growth. Notwithstanding the short history of the survey, the findings … also suggest that price as well as non-price conditions and terms of credit standards do matter for credit and business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316257
This paper aims to shed light on the role of credit supply shocks in euro area countries during the recent pre … impulse response functions based on the theoretical model by Gerali et al. (2010). The results suggest that credit supply … economy have generally increased since the recent crisis. Moreover, we report evidence that credit supply shocks contributed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049850
This paper investigates whether output and inflation respond asymmetrically to credit shocks in the euro area. The … effects related to credit conditions in the economy. Consistent with this finding, the impulse responses show some signs of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604527