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sector expectations that helps to dampen the fall in output and inflation at the outset of the liquidity trap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061806
The purpose of this paper is to analyse whether fiscal policies can alleviate the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on interest rates and if they should be coordinated internationally. The analysis is carried out using EAGLE, a DSGE model of the global economy. We consider that the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316157
near-term economic outlook, characterised by persistently low nominal interest rates and inflation, and in a lasting low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844862
multiplier of fiscal expansion is found to be significantly dampened by tighter financial conditions in case households are less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831403
We analyse the impact of fiscal policy shocks in the euro area as a whole, using a newly available quarterly dataset of fiscal variables for the period 1981-2007. To allow for comparability with previous results on euro area countries and the US, we use a standard structural VAR framework, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153261
. The risk of future regime shifts has encompassing effects on equilibrium. Inflation is systematically higher than it would … stability. This inflation bias is increasing in the real value of government debt. Regime-switching probabilities are not … interest rate sufficiently moderately when inflation increases. Lower fiscal dominance risk, in turn, mitigates the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543597
This paper provides a comprehensive empirical analysis of the role of discretionary fiscal policy for inflation … is difficult to find robust evidence of the fiscal policy stance or impulse impacting directly on inflation differentials …. We do find, however, support for an indirect effect of discretionary fiscal policy on inflation differentials working …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257756
Using vector autoregressions on U.S. time series for 1957-1979 and 1983-2004, we find government spending shocks to have stronger effects on output, consumption, and wages in the earlier sample. We try to account for this observation within a DSGE model featuring price rigidities and limited...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318046
In a model with costly financial intermediation and financial disturbances, credit subsidies are desirable, irrespective of how they are financed. They are especially useful when the zero lower bound constraint is reached. They are superior to other credit policies such as direct lending.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605922
This paper develops a tractable model of a monetary union with a sound fiscal governance structure and shows how in such environment the design of monetary policy above and at the lower bound constraint on short-term interest rates can be linked to well-known findings from the literature dealing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917169