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productivity shocks and (ii) a mildly counter-cyclical behaviour with fiscal spending shocks. We also use a Panel Vector Auto …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013145150
prices with respect to the euro area: productivity growth and increased trade openness. Productivity growth can have a … productivity growth a positive one on price level convergence with respect to the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316776
Policy makers often decide to liberalize foreign bank entry but at the same time restrict the mode of entry. We study how different entry modes affect the interest rate for loans in a model in which domestic banks possess private information about their incumbent clients but foreign banks have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604699
near-term economic outlook, characterised by persistently low nominal interest rates and inflation, and in a lasting low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844862
We assess the ability of yield curve factors to predict risk premia in short-term interest rates and exchange rates across a large sample of major advanced economies. We find that the same tick-shaped linear combination of (relative) bond yields predicts risk premia in both short-term interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926459
policy rules: we model inflation to be stationary, with the output gap pinning down deviations of inflation from its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889739
Do negative policy rates hinder banks' transmission of monetary policy? To answer this question, we examine the behaviour of Italian mortgage lenders using a novel loan-level dataset. When policy rates turn negative, banks with higher ratios of retail overnight deposits to total assets charge...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892476
We show that medium-term interest rates in the euro area, Japan, UK and US are affected by domestic and foreign shocks. We find that US rates are the main source of spillovers globally and are less exposed to foreign shocks. Foreign spillovers to European rates were negligible only during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894814
rate cuts to stimulate the economy and lift inflation back to target in the immediate aftermath of the GFC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914883
estimated on both macro and yields data from the United States. Regime shifts in the conditional variance of productivity shocks …-term nominal yields over long horizons. The remaining driver of long-term yields are changes in inflation expectations induced by … conventional, autoregressive shocks. Long-term inflation expectations implied by our model are in line with those based on survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870708