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Assessing the Compensation for Volatility Risk Implicit in Interest Rate Derivatives
Fornari, Fabio - 2021
volatility risk, for dollar, euro and pound rates at a daily frequency, between October 1998 and August 2006. The measurement of … the volatility risk premium rests on a simple model according to which variance forecasts are generated under the … large - negative - compensation for volatility risk, a component which was smaller in absolute terms - but not relative to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316627
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A Quantitative Mirror on the Euribor Market Using Implied Probability Density Functions
de Vincent-Humphreys, Rupert - 2011
This paper presents a set of probability density functions for Euribor outturns in three months' time, estimated from the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over ten...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132237
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A Structural Break in the Effects of Japanese Foreign Exchange Intervention on Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate Volatility
Hillebrand, Eric T.; Schnabl, Gunther - 2021
volatility at the turn of the millennium when Japanese foreign exchange intervention started to remain unsterilized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317566
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Is the corporate bond market forward looking?
Hilscher, Jens - 2007
This paper presents empirical evidence that the corporate bond market is forward looking with respect to volatility. I … use the Merton (1974) model to calculate a measure of implied volatility from corporate bond yield spreads. I find that … corporate bond transaction prices contain substantial information about future volatility: When predicting future volatility in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604846
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Assessing the compensation for volatility risk implicit in interest rate derivatives
Fornari, Fabio - 2008
volatility risk, for dollar, euro and pound rates at a daily frequency, between October 1998 and August 2006. The measurement of … the volatility risk premium rests on a simple model according to which variance forecasts are generated under the … large - negative - compensation for volatility risk, a component which was smaller in absolute terms - but not relative to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604905
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Country and industry equity risk premia in the euro area: an intertemporal approach
Cappiello, Lorenzo; Lo Duca, Marco; Maddaloni, Angela - 2008
This paper provides new evidence on the dynamics of equity risk premia in euro area stock markets across country and industry portfolios. We develop and estimate a conditional intertemporal CAPM where returns on aggregate euro area, country and industry portfolios depend on the market risk as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604959
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The impact of the euro on financial markets
Cappiello, Lorenzo; Hördahl, Peter; Kadareja, Arjan; … - 2006
We assess whether the euro had an impact first on the degree of integration of European financial markets, and, second, on the euro area term structure. We propose two methodologies to measure integration: one relies on time-varying GARCH correlations, and the other one on a regression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604644
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An Alternative View of Exchange Market Pressure Episodes in Emerging Europe : An Analysis Using Extreme Value Theory (EVT)
Heinz, Frigyes Ferdinand - 2015
Using extreme value theory tools, we demonstrate that the distributions of the exchange market pressure (EMP) series for most of twelve emerging Europe countries have heavy tails, and disregarding their tail properties may lead to substantial underestimation of the probability of tail events....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019633
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Credit Risk Spillover between Financials and Sovereigns in the Euro Area During 2007-2015
Vergote, Olivier - 2016
This paper presents time-varying contagion indices of credit risk spillover and feedback between 64 financials and sovereigns in the euro area, where spillover is identified based on bilateral Granger causality regressions. Over-identification of contagion between financials' true credit risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992428
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Hierarchical Markov normal mixture models with applications to financial asset returns
Geweke, John; Amisano, Gianni - 2007
-year bonds. We compare the performance of the model with ARCH and stochastic volatility models using predictive likelihoods. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604877