Showing 1 - 10 of 923
sentiment (considering both confidence and uncertainty) and economic activity. Second, we review existing empirical measures of … sentiment, in particular consumer confidence, stock market volatility (SMV) and Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU), on monthly … across countries, suggesting the existence of a global factor. Consumer confidence has the closest co-movement with economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947849
Numerous countries have experienced boom-bust episodes in asset prices in the past 20 years. This study looks at stylized facts and conducts statistical and econometric analysis for such episodes, distinguishing between industrialized countries that experienced external adjustment (via real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316840
Numerous countries have experienced boom-bust episodes in asset prices in the past 20 years. This study looks at stylised facts and conducts statistical and econometric analysis for such episodes, distinguishing between industrialised countries that experienced external adjustment (via real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604859
This paper studies the relationship between the business cycle and financial intermediation in the euro area. We establish stylized facts and study their stability during the global financial crisis and the European sovereign debt crisis. Long-term interest rates have been exceptionally high and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893985
This paper develops a DSGE model where banks use short-term deposits to provide firms with long-term credit. The demand for long-term credit arises because firms borrow in order to finance their capital stock which they only adjust at infrequent intervals. Within an RBC framework, we show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099027
This empirical paper seeks to determine the relative contribution of the business cycle and structural factors to the development of part-time employment in the EU-15 countries over the 1980s and 1990s, exploiting a panel of EU countries. In the short-run, the business cycle is found to exert a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316586
We study the determinants of trust in the ECB as measured by the European Commission's Eurobarometer survey. The formulation of the corresponding question in this survey is very general, and compatible with very different notions of "trust" by respondents. In particular, the survey does not ask...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089459
culture. However, the role of cognitive processes has largely been neglected, especially in the analysis of central bank trust …. In this paper we aim to address this gap focusing on the case of the European Central Bank (ECB). We introduce the … driven by women, and in particular by those who say they possess a low understanding of the central bank’s policies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290093
This paper explores how discretionary fiscal policies on the revenue side of the government budget have reacted to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154178
identify the causal effects of confidence shocks on real economic activity in a selection of advanced economies. Starting from … consumption and real GDP. In line with BNW, we find that confidence shocks explain a large share of the variance in real economic … common global components in international confidence cycles, we extend the analysis to a FAVAR model. This approach proves …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055735