Showing 1 - 10 of 527
This paper presents a set of probability density functions for Euribor outturns in three months' time, estimated from the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over ten...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132237
stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility …The VIX, the stock market option-based implied volatility, strongly co-moves with measures of the monetary policy … ("uncertainty"), we find that a lax monetary policy decreases both risk aversion and uncertainty, with the former effect being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080094
volatility risk, for dollar, euro and pound rates at a daily frequency, between October 1998 and August 2006. The measurement of … the volatility risk premium rests on a simple model according to which variance forecasts are generated under the … large - negative - compensation for volatility risk, a component which was smaller in absolute terms - but not relative to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316627
Yield curves built from liquid instruments tend to exhibit specific features, both in term of smoothness and in term of patterns. The paper presents empirical evidence that those liquid yiled curves frequently conform to a specific functional form. This specific functional form is predicted by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604194
This paper presents empirical evidence that the corporate bond market is forward looking with respect to volatility. I … use the Merton (1974) model to calculate a measure of implied volatility from corporate bond yield spreads. I find that … corporate bond transaction prices contain substantial information about future volatility: When predicting future volatility in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604846
volatility risk, for dollar, euro and pound rates at a daily frequency, between October 1998 and August 2006. The measurement of … the volatility risk premium rests on a simple model according to which variance forecasts are generated under the … large - negative - compensation for volatility risk, a component which was smaller in absolute terms - but not relative to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604905
The financial crisis has highlighted the need for models that can identify counter-party risk exposures and shock … extend this accounting-based network of interlinked exposures to risk-based balance sheets which are sensitive to changes in … leverage and asset volatility. We conclude that the bilateral cross-sector exposures in the euro area financial system …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153431
. For this purpose, it first extends the estimation of risk-neutral probability density functions up to tick frequency. In … particular, the non-parametric estimator of these densities, which is based on fitting implied volatility curves, is applied to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119936
Market participants use leveraged derivatives to gain access to equity market exposure through broker banks. Leverage and interconnectedness via overlapping portfolios of dealer banks can amplify adverse market movements, potentially causing sizeable losses. I propose a model, based on granular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491644
the presence of institutional investors affects volatility and liquidity in secondary bank bond markets. We find that non …' liquidity conditions, at the cost of significantly increasing volatility of daily returns. The effect translates to more than a … 19% improvement in liquidity conditions and up to 57% increase in daily-return volatility, assuming MMFs hold about 10 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871121