Showing 1 - 10 of 385
We use a Smooth Transition Conditional Correlation GARCH (STCC-GARCH) model applied to the euro area monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043737
This paper investigates leading indicators of systemic banking crises in a panel of 11 EU countries, with a particular focus on Finland. We use quarterly data from 1980Q1 to 2013Q2, in order to create a large number of macro-financial indicators, as well as their various transformations. We make...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030867
We provide evidence that changes in the equity price and volatility of individual firms (measures that approximate the definition of 'granular shock' given in Gabaix, 2010) are key to improve the predictability of aggregate business cycle fluctuations in a number of countries. Specifically,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121824
This paper models volatility spillovers from mature to emerging stock markets, tests for changes in the transmission mechanism during turbulences in mature markets, and examines the implications for conditional correlations between mature and emerging market returns. Tri-variate GARCH-BEKK...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154956
We study empirically how competition among high-frequency traders (HFTs) affects their trading behavior and market quality. Our analysis exploits a unique dataset, which allows us to compare environments with and without high-frequency competition, and contains an exogenous event - a tick size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868588
Using the 2007-2009 financial crisis as a laboratory, we analyze the transmission of crises to country-industry equity portfolios in 55 countries. We use an asset pricing framework with global and local factors to predict crisis returns, defining unexplained increases in factor loadings as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315979
This paper presents a model for stress testing investment funds, based on a broad worldwide sample of primary open-end equity and bond funds. First, we employ a Bayesian technique to project the impact of macro-financial scenarios on country-level portfolio flows worldwide that are constructed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142167
This paper presents a model for stress testing investment funds, based on a broad worldwide sample of primary open-end equity and bond funds. First, we employ a Bayesian technique to project the impact of macro-financial scenarios on country-level portfolio flows worldwide that are constructed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860195
market countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China), adding constraints that reflect a central bank's desire to hold a sizable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317364
We compare option-implied correlation forecasts from a dataset consisting of over 10 years of daily data on over …-the-counter (OTC) currency option prices to a set of return-based correlation measures and assess the relative quality of the … correlation forecasts. We find that while the predictive power of implied correlation is not always superior to that of returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604493