Showing 1 - 10 of 491
We investigate asset returns around banking crises in 44 advanced and emerging economies from 1960 to 2018. In contrast to the view that buying assets during banking crises is a profitable long-run strategy, we find returns of equity and other asset classes generally underperform after banking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227328
The empirical literature on systemic banking crises (SBCs) has shown that SBCs are rare events that break out in the midst of credit intensive booms and bring about particularly deep and long-lasting recessions. We attempt to explain these phenomena within a dynamic general equilibrium model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086964
This paper uses data on bilateral foreign exposures of domestic banking systems in order to construct early warning models for financial crises that take into account cross-country spill-overs of vulnerabilities. The empirical results show that incorporating cross-country financial linkages can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916375
recent crisis. On the wider economic impact of STW, we show that firms using the schemes are significantly less likely to lay …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315371
explanatory power both for the length and the depth of the recent crisis once we control for pre-crisis macroeconomic fundamentals … depth of the crisis are the growth rates of credit and of the real effective exchange rate in the pre-crisis period and …, though to a lesser extent, GDP and inflation growth over the same period and pre-crisis foreign exchange reserves. Government …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965544
The sovereign debt crisis in the euro area has increased the interest in early warning indicators, with the aim to … indicate the build up of fiscal stress early on and to facilitate crisis prevention by a timely counteraction of fiscal and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049852
We document the twin crisis that affected Spain in the mid-1860s. First, we trace back its origins to the international … crisis of 1864-66. Next, we describe the particular banking sector of Spain, characterized by the coexistence of the Bank of … Spain with multiple local banks of issue. We analyze the microeconomic behavior of each bank in response to the crisis and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080476
How do households adjust to a large debt shock? This paper studies household responses to a revaluation of foreign currency household debt during a large depreciation in Hungary. Relative to similar local currency debtors, foreign currency debtors reduce consumption expenditures approximately...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239455
discretionary fiscal measures have increased annualized quarterly real GDP growth during the crisis by up to 1.6 percentage points …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108718
bank to the arrival of the crisis and local default rates. We find that broad eligibility reduced significantly the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961960