Showing 1 - 10 of 1,036
term interest rates, local and global money and credit developments, and the incidence of mortgage market deregulation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158164
This paper proposes a framework for monitoring vulnerabilities related to the residential real estate sector in a cross-country context. The framework might be useful for complementing or cross-checking signals available from existing approaches. It takes into account three dimensions of real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948367
main facts: first, the features of residential mortgage markets differ markedly across industrialized countries; second … house prices is significantly stronger in those countries with larger flexibility/development of mortgage markets; third …, the transmission to consumption is stronger only in those countries where mortgage equity release is common and mortgage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316354
How does home ownership affect new business creation? We develop a model of career choice in the presence of liquidity constraints in which shocks to the value of real estate affect the propensity of potential entrepreneurs to borrow against the value of their property. Using a large US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082537
term interest rates, local and global money and credit developments, and the incidence of mortgage market deregulation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605117
The contribution of this paper is to revisit the Early Warning System (EWS) literature by analysing selected episodes of financial market crisis, i.e. those preceded by a spell of credit and real estate expansions. The aim is to disentangle instances when this constitutes a natural phenomenon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156232
Boom-bust cycles in real estate markets have been major factors in systemic financial crises and therefore need to be at the forefront of macroprudential policy. The geographically differentiated nature of real estate market fluctuations implies that these policies need to be granular across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020662
This paper explores the link between agent expectations and housing market dynamics. We focus on shifts in the fundamental driving forces of the economy that are anticipated by rational forward-looking agents, i.e. news shocks. Using Bayesian methods and U.S. data, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025023
Housing prices are subject to boom and bust episodes with long-lasting deviation from fundamentals. By considering a present value housing price model under noisy information, I study the macroeconomic implications of movements in housing prices related (news) and not related (noise) to future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986653
We use multivariate unobserved components models to estimate trend and cyclical components in GDP, credit volumes and house prices for the U.S. and the five largest European economies. With the exception of Germany, we find large and long cycles in credit and house prices, which are highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988605