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1
Forecasting the central bank’s inflation objective is a good rule of thumb
Diron, Marie
;
Mojon, Benoît
-
2005
This paper first shows that the forecast error incurred when assuming that future inflation will be equal to the inflation target announced by the central bank is typically at least as small and often smaller than forecast errors of model-based and published inflation forecasts. It then shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604610
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2
Trust in the Central Bank and Inflation Expectation
Christelis, Dimitris
-
2020
Using micro data from the 2015 Dutch CentERpanel, we examine whether trust in the European Central Bank (ECB) influences individuals' expectations and uncertainty about future inflation, and whether it anchors inflation expectations. We find that higher trust in the ECB lowers inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841204
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3
Mitigating the Forward Guidance Puzzle : Inattention,
Credibility
, Finite Planning Horizons and Learning
Groot, Oliver
-
2020
incorporate information about future interest rate announcements: “inattention”, “
credibility
”, “finite planning horizon”, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830239
Saved in:
4
Credibility
Gains from Communicating with the Public : Evidence from the ECB's New Monetary Policy Strategy
Ehrmann, Michael
;
Georgarakos, Dimitris
;
Kenny, Geoff
-
2023
elements of the strategy can enhance the perceived
credibility
that price stability will be maintained in the medium … strongest positive impact on
credibility
, boosting
credibility
also among the less financially literate and generating more … persistent
credibility
gains, even after inflation increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254531
Saved in:
5
Money Talks
Hoerova, Marie
-
2010
, information transmission through changes in the interest rate creates a distortion, thus, lending an amount of
credibility
. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150973
Saved in:
6
Euro Area Market Reactions to the Monetary Developments Press Release
Coffinet, Jerome
;
Gouteron, Sylvain
-
2021
Using intra-day data, we assess the impact of the press release on euro area monetary data on the different segments of the euro area yield curve. For this purpose, we estimate a relation between the "news" or "surprise" in the released data for annual M3 growth and the move in the interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316901
Saved in:
7
Monetary Policy in the Media
Berger, Helge
;
Ehrmann, Michael
;
Fratzscher, Marcel
-
2021
, and thus an important factor for its
credibility
and policy effectiveness. This paper analyses the coverage which ECB …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317451
Saved in:
8
The Impact of Fiscal Policy Announcements by the Italian Government on the Sovereign Spread : A Comparative Analysis
Falagiarda, Matteo
-
2015
Italian spread. We argue that these findings may be partly explained by a
credibility
gap between Monti's technocratic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020806
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9
Fiscal Convergence Before Entering the Emu
Onorante, Luca
-
2006
The monetary integration of the acceding countries will proceed in several distinct steps, starting with membership in the European Union (EU), followed by participation in the so-called Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) II and ultimately entry into the euro area. This paper addresses the question...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779801
Saved in:
10
The Design of National Fiscal Frameworks and Their Budgetary Impact
Nerlich, Carolin
-
2013
This study analyses the link between fiscal frameworks and their budgetary impact. We look at di fferent features of national numerical fiscal rules in combination with fiscal councils and medium-term budgeting frameworks. We construct our own time-varying dataset for national fiscal frameworks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076444
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