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Do Oil Windfalls Improve Living Standards? Evidence from Brazil

Caselli, Francesco; Michaels, Guy - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2009

We use variation in oil output among Brazilian municipalities to investigate the effects of resource windfalls. We find muted effects of oil through market channels: offshore oil has no effect on municipal non-oil GDP or its composition, while onshore oil has only modest effects on non-oil GDP...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008610984

Is Poland the Next Spain?

Caselli, Francesco; Tenreyro, Silvana - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2005

We revisit Western Europe's record with labor-productivity convergence, and tentatively extrapolate its implications … capital accumulation and TFP growth reflect convergence along two margins. One margin (between industry) is a massive …. Coupled with the fact that within-industry productivity gaps are enormous, this suggests that convergence will take a long …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084557

The Contribution of Schooling in Development Accounting: Results from a Nonparametric Upper Bound

Caselli, Francesco; Ciccone, Antonio - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2011

How much would output increase if underdeveloped economies were to increase their levels of schooling? We contribute to the development accounting literature by describing a non-parametric upper bound on the increase in output that can be generated by more schooling. The advantage of our...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652860

The Marginal Product of Capital

Caselli, Francesco; Feyrer, James - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2005

Whether or not the marginal product of capital (MPK) differs across countries is a question that keeps coming up in discussions of comparative economic development and patterns of capital flows. Attempts to provide an empirical answer to this question have so far been mostly indirect and based...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005050164

Economics and Politics of Alternative Institutional Reforms

Caselli, Francesco; Gennaioli, Nicola - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2007

We compare the economic consequences and political feasibility of reforms aimed at reducing barriers to entry (deregulation) and improving contractual enforcement (legal reform). Deregulation fosters entry, thereby increasing the number of firms (entrepreneurship) and the average quality of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005050260

The Optimal Design of Unemployment Insurance and Employment Protection. A First Pass

Blanchard, Olivier; Tirole, Jean - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2004

Much of the policy discussion of labor market institutions has been at the margin, with proposals to tighten unemployment benefits, reduce employment protection, and so on. There has been little discussion however of what the ultimate goal and architecture should be. The paper focuses on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005025639

Optimal Dynamic Taxes

Golosov, Mikhail; Troshkin, Maxim; Tsyvinski, Aleh - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2011

We study optimal labor and savings distortions in a lifecycle model with idiosyncratic shocks. We show a tight connection between its recursive formulation and a static Mirrlees model with two goods, which allows us to derive elasticity-based expressions for the dynamic optimal distortions. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009372438

Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers

Blanchard, Olivier; Leigh, Daniel - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2013

This paper investigates the relation between growth forecast errors and planned fiscal consolidation during the crisis. We find that, in advanced economies, stronger planned fiscal consolidation has been associated with lower growth than expected, with the relation being particularly strong,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010785642

An Empirical Characterization of the Dynamic Effects of Changes in Government Spending and Taxes on Output

Blanchard, Olivier; Perotti, Roberto - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 1999

This paper characterizes the dynamic effects of shocks in government spending and taxes on economic activity in the United States in the post-war period. It does so by using a mixed structural VAR/event study approach. Identification is achieved by using institutional information about the tax...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005829344

Current Account Deficits in Rich Countries

Blanchard, Olivier - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2007

Current account imbalances have steadily increased in rich countries over the last 20 years. While the U.S. current account deficit dominates the numbers and the news, other countries, especially within the Euro area, are also running large deficits. These deficits are different from the Latin...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005088601