Fritsche, Ulrich; Kuzin, Vladimir - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 225 (2005) 1, pp. 22-43
Summary Using a binary reference series based on the dating procedure of Artis, Kontolemis and Osborn (1997) different procedures for predicting turning points of the German business cycles were tested. Specifically, a probit model as proposed by Estrella and Mishkin (1997) as well as...
