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International transmission and monetary policy cooperation

Coenen, Günter; Lombardo, Giovanni; Smets, Frank; … - 2008

We use a version of the New Area-Wide Model (NAWM) developed at the ECB in order to quantify the gains from monetary policy cooperation. The model is calibrated in order to match a set of empirical moments. We then derive the cooperative and (open-loop) Nash monetary policies, assuming that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636288

Flow on conjunctural information and forecast of euro area economic activity

Heinisch, Katja (contributor); Maurin, Laurent (contributor) - 2008

Euro area GDP and components are nowcast and forecast one quarter ahead. Based on a dataset of 163 series comprising the relevant monthly indicators, simple bridge equations with one explanatory variable are estimated for each. The individual forecasts generated by each equation are then pooled,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003789413

Euro area money demand and international portfolio allocation : a contribution to assessing risks to price stability

De Santis, Roberto A. (contributor); … - 2008

The long-run relationship between money and prices in the euro area embedded in traditional money demand models with income and interest rates broke down after 2001. We develop an money demand model where investors hold a diversified portfolio with money, domestic and foreign stocks and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003789419

The role of country-specific trade and survey data in forecasting euro area manufacturing production : perspective from large panel factor models

Darracq Pariès, Matthieu (contributor); … - 2008

Several factor-based models are estimated to investigate the role of country-specific trade and survey data in forecasting euro areamanufacturing production. Following Boivin and Ng (2006), the emphasis is put on the role of dataset selection on the empirical performance of factor models. First,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778786

The Maastricht convergence criteria and optimal monetary policy for the EMU accession Countries

Lipińska, Anna (contributor) - 2008

The EMU accession countries are obliged to fulfill the Maastrich convergence criteria prior to entering the EMU. This paper uses a DSGE model of a two-sector small open economy, to address the following question: How do the Maastricht convergence criteria modify optimal monetary policy in an...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778818

Robust monetary rules under unstructured and structured model uncertainty

Levine, Paul (contributor); Pearlman, Joseph (contributor) - 2008

This paper compares two contrasting approaches to robust monetary policy design. The first developed by Hansen and Sargent (2003, 2007) assumes unstructured model uncertainty and uses a minimax robustness criterion to design monetary rules. This contrasts with an older literature that structures...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778827

Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area : does national information help?

Cristadoro, Riccardo (contributor); … - 2008

The ECB objective is set in terms of year on year growth rate of the Euro area HICP. Nonetheless, a good deal of attention is given to national data by market analysts when they try to anticipate monetary policy moves. In this paper we use the Generalized Dynamic Factor model to develop a set of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778828

Fiscal and monetary policy in the enlarged European Union (forthcoming)

Pogorelec, Sabina (contributor) - 2006

I build a quantitative two-country DSGE model of the European Union (EU) and investigate whether there are welfare … gains from fiscal policy cooperation between the new EU members and the euro area (EMU). Fiscal cooperation is defined in … firms in the new EU countries. When there is no foreign ownership in the new EU countries, the euro area is indifferent …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003358603

The impact of ECB monetary policy decisions and communication on the yield curve

Brand, Claus (contributor); Buncic, Daniel (contributor); … - 2006

We analyse high-frequency changes in the euro area money market yield curve on dates when the ECB regularly sets and communicates decisions on policy interest rates to construct different indicators of monetary policy news relating to policy decisions and to central bank communication. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003358614

Monetary policy rules in the pre-EMU era : is there a common rule?

Eleftheriou, Maria (contributor); … - 2006

Despite the great importance and final success of the convergence process that led to the establishment of the European Monetary Union, there is no clear agreement regarding the monetary policy pursued in the member countries during the convergence process. This paper contributes to the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003358624

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