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This paper aims at the production of a chronology for the EU15 business cycle by comparing parametric and non … series for the EU15 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and the EU15 Industrial Production Index (IPI) from 1970 to 2003. The … monthly IPI and the quarterly GDP at the EU15 level have been reconstructed starting from the available national series. The …
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This paper analyzes sovereign risk shift-contagion, i.e. positive and significant changes in the propagation mechanisms, using bond yield spreads for the major eurozone countries. By emphasizing the use of two econometric approaches based on quantile regressions (standard quantile regression and...
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