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several advantages compared to the linear correlation measure in modeling comovement. This paper introduces a copula ARMA-GARCH … model for analyzing the comovement of indexes in German equity markets. The model is implemented with an ARMA-GARCH model … skewed Student's t copula ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) model with Lévy fractional stable noise is superior to alternative models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046500
The paper investigates the interdependence and conditional correlations between futures contracts and their underlying assets, both for stock and bond markets, and the impact of the interdependence and conditional correlations on VaR forecasts. The paper finds evidence of volatility spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731676
-Exponential Conditional Correlation (MECC) model. The paper applies the WDCC approach to the exponential GARCH (EGARCH) and GJR models to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732622
We propose a new model for dynamic volatilities and correlations of skewed and heavy-tailed data. Our model endows the Generalized Hyperbolic distribution with time-varying parameters driven by the score of the observation density function. The key novelty in our approach is the fact that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257612
intermediate regimes is considered and modeled with the introduction of a smooth-transition mechanism in a GARCH specification. One … power. A smooth-transition GARCH specification is tested and estimated with stock returns and exchange-rate data. While a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014620812
This paper describes a GAUSS program of a Markov-chain sampling algorithm for GARCH models proposed by Nakatsuma (1998 …). This algorithm allows us to generate Monte Carlo samples of parameters in a GARCH model from their joint posterior … distribution. The samples obtained by this algorithm are used for Bayesian analysis of the GARCH model. As numerical examples …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014620814
estimation strategies available for the Bayesian inference of GARCH-type models. The emphasis is put on a novel efficient …-nested GARCH-type models are estimated and combined to predict the distribution of next-day ahead log-returns. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255484
different GARCH models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005246267
principal index of the London Stock Exchange supports our model when compared to other frequently used GARCH-type models, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005246269
GARCH (1,1) model. As a result, the GARCH estimate tends to have too small a standard error relative to the true one when … the ARCH parameter is small, even when sample size becomes very large. In combination with an upward bias in the GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005246282