Showing 1 - 10 of 35
under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian approach to forecasting value-at-risk of VIX futures, fast clustering of GARCH processes … dynamics of BRICS's country risk ratings and domestic stock markets, U.S. stock market and oil price, forecasting value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732625
This paper examines whether there is evidence of spillovers of volatility from the Chinese stock market to its neighbours and trading partners, including Australia, Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan and USA. China’s increasing integration into the global market may have important consequences for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731739
This paper investigates the conditional correlations and volatility spillovers between crude oil returns and stock index returns. Daily returns from 2 January 1998 to 4 November 2009 of the crude oil spot, forward and futures prices from the WTI and Brent markets, and the FTSE100, NYSE, Dow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732594
International and domestic tourism are leading economic activities in the world today. Tourism has been known to generate goods and services directly and indirectly, attract foreign currency, stimulate employment, and provide opportunities for investment. It has also been recognized as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732599
a decade, and is crucial for forecasting volatility and Value-at-Risk (VaR). There are four major benchmarks in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732618
Asia is presently the most important market for the production and consumption of natural rubber. World prices of rubber are not only subject to changes in demand, but also to speculation regarding future markets. Japan and Singapore are the major futures markets for rubber, while Thailand is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732624
a decade, and is crucial for forecasting volatility and Value-at-Risk (VaR). There are four major benchmarks in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837748
The internal models amendment to the Basel Accord allows banks to use internal models to forecast Value-at-Risk (VaR) thresholds, which are used to calculate the required capital that banks must hold in reserve as a protection against negative changes in the value of their trading portfolios. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731585
part focus on the development of models and methods for forecasting. The key question was whether one believes that the … forecasting discipline has made progress in the last three decades. Amongst various results, the most important one is that modest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731593
This article proposes a modified method for the construction of diffusion indexes in macroeconomic forecasting using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731613