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We develop a new parameter stability test against the alternative of observation driven generalized autoregressive score dynamics. The new test generalizes the ARCH-LM test of Engle (1982) to settings beyond time-varying volatility and exploits any autocorrelation in the likelihood scores under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060732
We extend the generalized method of moments to a setting where a subset of the parameters may vary over time with unknown dynamics. We approximate the true unknown dynamics by an updating scheme that is driven by the influence function of the conditional criterion function at time t. The updates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936574
We extend the generalized method of moments to a setting where a subset of the parameters may vary over time with unknown dynamics. We approximate the true unknown dynamics by an updating scheme that is driven by the influence function of the conditional criterion function at time t. The updates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936641
In this paper we consider different periodic extensions of regression models with autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average disturbances for the analysis of daily spot prices of electricity. We show that day-of-the-week periodicity and long memory are important determinants for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063668
periodicity to be used. The method is based on a general class of unobserved component models that allow relatively smooth cycles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702586