We study estimation and inference of the expected shortfall for time series with infinite variance. Both the smoothed and nonsmoothed estimators are investigated. The rate of convergence is determined by the tail thickness parameter, and the limiting distribution is in the stable class with...

We use local polynomial fitting to estimate the nonparametric M-regression function for strongly mixing stationary processes {(<italic>Y</italic>, <italic>null</italic>)}. We establish a strong uniform consistency rate for the Bahadur representation of estimators of the regression function and its derivatives. These results are...