Nielsen (Working paper, University of Oxford, 2009) shows that vector autoregression is inconsistent when there are common explosive roots with geometric multiplicity greater than unity. This paper discusses that result, provides a coexplosive system extension and an illustrative example that...

It is well known that unit root limit distributions are sensitive to initial conditions in the distant past. If the distant past initialization is extended to the infinite past, the initial condition dominates the limit theory, producing a faster rate of convergence, a limiting Cauchy...

An asymptotic theory is developed for multivariate regression in cointegrated systems whose variables are moderately integrated or moderately explosive in the sense that they have autoregressive roots of the form <italic>ρ</italic> = 1 + <italic>c</italic>/<italic>n</italic>, involving moderate deviations from unity when <italic>α</italic> null (0, 1) and <italic>c</italic>...

A limit theory is developed for multivariate regression in an explosive cointegrated system. The asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimator of the cointegrating coefficients is found to depend upon the precise relationship between the explosive regressors. When the eigenvalues of the...

An asymptotic theory is developed for a weakly identified cointegrating regression model in which the regressor is a nonlinear transformation of an integrated process. Weak identification arises from the presence of a loading coefficient for the nonlinear function that may be close to zero. In...

One of the more obvious empirical characteristics of macroeconomic time series is their tendency to grow, or trend, over time. Dealing with this trendnonstationarity in models of multiple time series has been a major agenda of econometric research for much of the last decade and has produced an...

Using the power kernels of Phillips, Sun, and Jin (2006, 2007), we examine the large sample asymptotic properties of the <italic>t</italic>-test for different choices of power parameter (<italic>ρ</italic>). We show that the nonstandard fixed-<italic>ρ</italic> limit distributions of the <italic>t</italic>-statistic provide more accurate approximations to the...