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We analyze the impact of nonstationary volatility on the break fraction estimator and associated trend break unit root tests of Harris, Harvey, Leybourne, and Taylor (2009) (HHLT). We show that although HHLT’s break fraction estimator retains the same large-sample properties as demonstrated by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293153
We consider the issue of testing a time series for a unit root in the possible presence of a break in a linear deterministic trend at an unknown point in the series. We propose a new break fraction estimator which, where a break in trend occurs, is consistent for the true break fraction at rate...</italic>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008479693
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972591
In this paper we focus on two major issues that surround testing for a unit root in practice, namely, (i) uncertainty as to whether or not a linear deterministic trend is present in the data and (ii) uncertainty as to whether the initial condition of the process is (asymptotically) negligible or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972607
In this paper we develop a simple procedure that delivers tests for the presence of a broken trend in a univariate time series that do not require knowledge of the form of serial correlation in the data and are robust as to whether the shocks are generated by an <italic>I</italic>(0) or an <italic>I</italic>(1) process. Two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005004063
Testing for the presence of a broken linear trend when the nature of the persistence in the data is unknown is not a trivial problem, because the test needs to be both asymptotically correctly sized and consistent, regardless of the order of integration of the data. In a recent paper, Sayginsoy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011067372
In this note we derive the local asymptotic power function of the standardized averaged Dickey–Fuller panel unit root statistic of Im, Pesaran, and Shin (2003, <italic>Journal of Econometrics</italic>, 115, 53–74), allowing for heterogeneous deterministic intercept terms. We consider the situation where the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008496674
The contribution of this paper is threefold. First, a characterization theorem of the subhypotheses comprising the seasonal unit root hypothesis is presented that provides a precise formulation of the alternative hypotheses associated with regression- based seasonal unit root tests. Second, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005250094
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005250227