Showing 1 - 10 of 10
This note is concerned with two recent agent-based models of speculative dynamics from the literature, one by Gaunersdorfer and Hommes and the other by He and Li. At short as well as long lags, both of them display an autocorrelation structure in absolute and squared returns that comes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003738658
propose an extended time-varying VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505897
This paper provides high-dimensional and flexible importance sampling procedures for the likelihood evaluation of dynamic latent variable models involving finite or infinite mixtures leading to possibly heavy tailed and/or multi-modal target densities. Our approach is based upon the efficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009382978
A large number of nonlinear conditional heteroskedastic models have been proposed in the literature. Model selection is crucial to any statistical data analysis. In this article, we investigate whether the most commonly used selection criteria lead to choice of the right specification in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011297653
Time-varying volatility is common in macroeconomic data and has been incorporated into macroeconomic models in recent work. Dynamic panel data models have become increasingly popular in macroeconomics to study common relationships across countries or regions. This paper estimates dynamic panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650493
The purpose of this paper is to show how to solve linear dynamic rational expectations models with anticipated shocks by using the generalized Schur decomposition method. Furthermore, we determine the optimal unrestricted and restricted policy responses to anticipated shocks. We demonstrate our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003810950
In this we investigate the welfare effects of optimal monetary policy measurements within a high-frequency New-Keynesian model i.e. under variation of the period length. Our results indicate that the policy maker faces a higher welfare loss on a higher relative to a lower frequency of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010234027
In this paper we analyze a hybrid small-scale New-Keynesian model with an arbitrary frequency of the agents’ synchronized decision making. We study the impact of various demand and supply shocks on the dynamics of the model variables. We show that the corresponding impulse-response functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010234030
The extensive harm caused by the financial crisis raises the question of whether policymakers could have done more to prevent the build-up of financial imbalances. This paper aims to contribute to the field of regulatory impact assessment by taking up the revived debate on whether central banks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011404102
forecasting the daily S&P 500 index return quantile (Value-at-Risk or VaR is simply the negative of it), using high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009776365