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Smooth Transition GARCH and the Markov-Switching GARCH models. Simulation experiments reveal that information criteria and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011297653
We introduce and investigate some properties of a class of nonlinear time series models based on the moving sample quantiles in the autoregressive data generating process. We derive a test fit to detect this type of nonlinearity. Using the daily realized volatility data of Standard & Poor's 500...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478989
Estimation of GARCH models can be simplified by augmenting quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) estimation with variance … volatility equation and corresponding value-at-risk predictions. We find that most GARCH coefficients and associated predictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410634
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011625535
We discuss several multivariate extensions of the Multiplicative Error Model to take into account dynamic interdependence and contemporaneously correlated innovations (vector MEM or vMEM). We suggest copula functions to link Gamma marginals of the innovations, in a specification where past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654447
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532717
The Ramsey regression equation specification error test (RESET) furnishes a diagnostic for omitted variables in a linear regression model specification (i.e., the null hypothesis is no omitted variables). Integer powers of fitted values from a regression analysis are introduced as additional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506413
This paper investigates the properties of tests for asymmetric long-run adjustment which are often applied in empirical studies on asymmetric price transmissions. We show that substantial size distortions are caused by preconditioning the test on finding sufficient evidence for cointegration in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025641
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011791732
Air pollution, especially ground-level ozone, poses severe threats to human health and ecosystems. Accurate forecasting of ozone concentrations is essential for reducing its adverse effects. This study aims to use the functional time series approach to model ozone concentrations, a method less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636419